Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero
Featherweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 3
Fighter Elo 1517Confident: Marcus McGheeFighter Elo 1409
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Marcus McGheeAnthony Romero
34%Decision18%
23%KO/TKO13%
8%Submission4%
52%Goes the Distance
10.7 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Marcus McGhee is ahead by 108 in total.
Marcus McGheeAnthony Romero
Past Results+80Experience+72Striking+44Grappling+16Activity+5Before the UFC+24Age and Build+73
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Marcus McGhee | Anthony Romero | |
|---|---|---|
| 51.29 to 100 | Significant Strikes | 39.36 to 77 |
| 0.80 to 3 | Takedowns | 0.70 to 2 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 1.4 min0 to 4.4 | Control Time | 1.3 min0 to 4.1 |
| 0.20 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.10 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Marcus McGhee52%
Anthony Romero38%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Marcus McGhee won by decision against John Yannis last time out, in 2026.
- Anthony Romero is younger by 7 years.
- Anthony Romero is making a UFC debut, so there is less to go on.
- Marcus McGhee has never been finished in 6 UFC fights.
- The biggest single edge is past results: 80 Fighter Elo points in favor of Marcus McGhee.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.