Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin
Heavyweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 3
Mick Parkin47%
Fighter Elo 1554Toss-Up: Johnny WalkerFighter Elo 1532
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Johnny WalkerMick Parkin
21%Decision19%
27%KO/TKO25%
4%Submission3%
41%Goes the Distance
9.3 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Johnny Walker is ahead by 22 in total.
Johnny WalkerMick Parkin
Past Results+47Activity+29Striking+8Experience+4Age and Build+24Grappling+35
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Johnny Walker | Mick Parkin | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.95 to 71 | Significant Strikes | 31.54 to 66 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Takedowns | 0.60 to 2 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 0.6 min0 to 1.9 | Control Time | 1.8 min0 to 5.5 |
| 0.1usually 0 | Submission Attempts | 0.1usually 0 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Johnny Walker42%
Mick Parkin38%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Johnny Walker lost by decision against Dominick Reyes last time out, in 2026.
- Mick Parkin lost by decision against Marcin Tybura last time out, in 2025.
- Mick Parkin is younger by 4 years.
- Johnny Walker has a longer reach by 3 inches.
- Mick Parkin has been out for 1.5 years.
- Johnny Walker has finished 7 of 8 UFC wins (6 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission).
- Johnny Walker has 15 UFC fights to Mick Parkin's 5.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.