Dream Matchup Calculator
Put any two UFC fighters against each other, from any era, and get a full forecast: who wins, how and when it ends, and each fighter's numbers.
Pick two different fighters, then press Calculate.
These two fight in different weight classes. The forecast puts the fight at the heavier one, and the ratings do not account for size.
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Projected Numbers
| Significant Strikes | ||
| Takedowns | ||
| Knockdowns | ||
| Control Time | ||
| Submission Attempts |
The full forecast is not available right now, so only the win chance is shown.
Tale of the Tape
Each fighter at the moment their rating is from.
| Fighter Elo | ||
|---|---|---|
| Rating From | ||
| Age | ||
| UFC Record | ||
| Height | ||
| Reach | ||
| Stance | ||
| Division |
How It Works
Each fighter is taken at their best, going into the UFC fight where their Fighter Elo was highest, or at their most recent. The forecast is made the same way as the forecasts for real cards: the same models for how and when the fight ends and for each fighter's numbers, and the fight is played 10,000 times.
A dream matchup cannot know how two fighters from different eras or weight classes would really match up, so treat it as a debate starter, not a forecast to rely on.