Phins 61% 39%
Kalshi 68% 32%
7 Point Gap
Tale of the Tape · Women's Strawweight · 3 Rounds
Loopy Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza
Why Phins Sees It Differently
Phins is 7 points higher on Ketlen Souza than Kalshi's price (39% to 32%). Age and Build favors Ketlen Souza by 17 Fighter Elo points. Grappling pulls the other way, by 48 points toward Loopy Godinez. Ketlen Souza has a longer reach by 2 inches. The likeliest single ending is Loopy Godinez by decision, at 40%. The biggest gap in how it ends: Loopy Godinez by Decision, 40% from Phins and 50% from Kalshi.
How It Ends: Phins vs. Kalshi
Kalshi's prices for how and when the fight ends, next to the Phins forecast. The last column is Phins minus Kalshi, in points; gaps of 10 or more are marked.
PhinsKalshiGap
Loopy Godinez by KO/TKO6%4%+2
Loopy Godinez by Submission15%11%+4
Loopy Godinez by Decision40%50%-10
Ketlen Souza by KO/TKO6%8%-2
Ketlen Souza by Submission4%6%-2
Ketlen Souza by Decision29%21%+8
Goes the Distance69%68%+1
Ends in Round 112%15%-3
Ends in Round 212%10%+2
Ends in Round 37%8%-1
What Drives Our Forecast
Fighter Elo points, toward each fighter.
Loopy GodinezKetlen Souza
Grappling+48Striking+24Experience+13Past Results+5Activity+4Age and Build+17
By the Numbers
The two fighters side by side. A dot marks the better number.
Loopy GodinezKetlen Souza
| 1522 | Fighter Elo | 1446 |
|---|---|---|
| 1546 | Classic Elo | 1518 |
| 9-6 | UFC Record | 4-3 |
| 33 | Age | 32 |
| 5'2" | Height | 5'3" |
| 61" | Reach | 63" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 4.43 | Strikes Landed per Minute | 4.11 |
| 3.94 | Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.89 |
| 62% | Striking Defense | 53% |
| 3.00 | Takedowns per 15 Minutes | 0.45 |
| 77% | Takedown Defense | 54% |
| 22% | Finish Rate | 50% |
Phins does not factor in any odds or prices; Kalshi's price is shown only for comparison. Phins is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to Kalshi. This is forecasting and analytics, not betting or financial advice.