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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Loopy Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza

Women's Strawweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 10
Fighter Elo 1522Lean: Loopy GodinezFighter Elo 1446

How It Ends

The chance of each ending, for each fighter.

Loopy GodinezKetlen Souza
40%Decision29%
6%KO/TKO6%
15%Submission4%
69%Goes the Distance
12.5 minAverage Length, of 15

When It Ends

The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.

Round 112%Round 212%Round 37%Decision69%

Where the Gap Comes From

In Fighter Elo points. Loopy Godinez is ahead by 76 in total.

Loopy GodinezKetlen Souza
Grappling+48Striking+24Experience+13Past Results+5Activity+4Age and Build+17

Projected Numbers

The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.

Loopy GodinezKetlen Souza
5314 to 96Significant Strikes52.913 to 96
20 to 4Takedowns0.40 to 2
0usually 0Knockdowns0.1usually 0
3.6 min0.1 to 8.6Control Time1.1 min0 to 3.6
0.40 to 1Submission Attempts0.20 to 1

Chance of at Least

Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.

Loopy Godinez43%
Ketlen Souza42%

Worth Knowing

Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.

  • Loopy Godinez lost by submission against Tatiana Suarez last time out, in 2026.
  • Ketlen Souza won by KO/TKO against Ariane Carnelossi last time out, in 2026.
  • Ketlen Souza has a longer reach by 2 inches.
  • Both have fought Ariane Carnelossi: Loopy Godinez won by decision in 2022, Ketlen Souza won by KO/TKO in 2026.
  • Both have fought Angela Hill: Loopy Godinez lost by decision in 2022, Ketlen Souza lost by decision in 2025.
  • Loopy Godinez averages 3.0 takedowns per 15 minutes. Ketlen Souza has stopped 54% of the takedowns tried on them.
  • Loopy Godinez has 15 UFC fights to Ketlen Souza's 7.

Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.