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Featherweight · Active

Luke Riley

UFC Record
3-0
Age
27

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1596Today
1547Classic Elo
14001500160020261424 going into Bogdan Grad, Nov 20251512 going into Michael Aswell Jr., Mar 20261556 going into Kai Kamaka III, Jul 20261596 today1596
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1547Today
1596Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155020261500 going into Bogdan Grad, Nov 20251516 going into Michael Aswell Jr., Mar 20261531 going into Kai Kamaka III, Jul 20261547 today1547
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

6.67Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
59%Striking Accuracy
3.86Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
61%Striking Defense
1.27Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.00Takedowns per 15 Minutes
38%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
1%Share of Fight Time in Control
7.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins201
Losses000

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Kai Kamaka IIIKO/TKO · R1 3:03Jul 11, 2026UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Luke RileyKai Kamaka III
1556Fighter Elo Going In1404
1531Classic Elo Going In1516
43 of 67Significant Strikes23 of 41
43 of 67Total Strikes23 of 41
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Michael Aswell Jr.Unanimous DecisionMar 21, 2026UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Luke RileyMichael Aswell Jr.
1512Fighter Elo Going In1447
1516Classic Elo Going In1500
100 of 177Significant Strikes61 of 180
113 of 192Total Strikes107 of 233
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time2:49
Winvs. Bogdan GradKO/TKO · R2 0:30Nov 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Luke RileyBogdan Grad
1424Fighter Elo Going In1538
1500Classic Elo Going In1501
14 of 23Significant Strikes7 of 13
20 of 32Total Strikes17 of 24
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 7
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:15Control Time3:55