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Bantamweight · Active

Rinya Nakamura

UFC Record
4-2
Age
31
Height
5'7"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1486Today
1627Best, Feb 2024
1524Classic Elo
14001500160017002024202520261466 going into Toshiomi Kazama, Feb 20231532 going into Fernie Garcia, Aug 20231627 going into Carlos Vera, Feb 20241564 going into Muin Gafurov, Jan 20251532 going into Nathan Fletcher, Aug 20251493 going into Brady Hiestand, Sep 20261486 today1486
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1524Today
1544Best, Jan 2025
1486Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015502024202520261500 going into Toshiomi Kazama, Feb 20231516 going into Fernie Garcia, Aug 20231530 going into Carlos Vera, Feb 20241544 going into Muin Gafurov, Jan 20251526 going into Nathan Fletcher, Aug 20251541 going into Brady Hiestand, Sep 20261524 today1524
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.82Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
51%Striking Accuracy
1.74Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
62%Striking Defense
0.81Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.15Takedowns per 15 Minutes
57%Takedown Accuracy
100%Takedown Defense
1.08Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
46%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins202
Losses011

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Brady HiestandSubmission · R2 4:07Sep 26, 2026UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rinya NakamuraBrady Hiestand
1493Fighter Elo Going In1490
1541Classic Elo Going In1532
29 of 65Significant Strikes26 of 55
40 of 79Total Strikes50 of 80
1 of 6Takedowns0 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
1:32Control Time1:51
Winvs. Nathan FletcherKO/TKO · R1 1:02Aug 2, 2025UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rinya NakamuraNathan Fletcher
1532Fighter Elo Going In1561
1526Classic Elo Going In1499
12 of 19Significant Strikes3 of 7
12 of 19Total Strikes3 of 7
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Muin GafurovUnanimous DecisionJan 18, 2025UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rinya NakamuraMuin Gafurov
1564Fighter Elo Going In1512
1544Classic Elo Going In1491
31 of 73Significant Strikes37 of 90
39 of 82Total Strikes73 of 130
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
1:41Control Time2:37
Winvs. Carlos VeraUnanimous DecisionFeb 17, 2024UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rinya NakamuraCarlos Vera
1627Fighter Elo Going In1305
1530Classic Elo Going In1500
38 of 70Significant Strikes12 of 25
73 of 114Total Strikes55 of 79
3 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
13:03Control Time0:00
Winvs. Fernie GarciaUnanimous DecisionAug 26, 2023UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rinya NakamuraFernie Garcia
1532Fighter Elo Going In1436
1516Classic Elo Going In1467
36 of 57Significant Strikes15 of 66
56 of 84Total Strikes50 of 106
4 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts1
9:26Control Time0:00
Winvs. Toshiomi KazamaKO/TKO · R1 0:33Feb 4, 2023UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

Road To UFC 1 Bantamweight Tournament Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rinya NakamuraToshiomi Kazama
1466Fighter Elo Going In1412
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
11 of 25Significant Strikes4 of 10
11 of 25Total Strikes4 of 10
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00