Phins 38% 62%
Kalshi 50% 50%
12 Point Gap
Tale of the Tape · Bantamweight · 3 Rounds
Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow
Why Phins Sees It Differently
Phins picks Steven Koslow at 62%; Kalshi's price favors Chad Anheliger at 50%. Age and Build favors Steven Koslow by 122 Fighter Elo points. Experience pulls the other way, by 37 points toward Chad Anheliger. Steven Koslow is younger by 10 years. The likeliest single ending is Steven Koslow by decision, at 28%. Steven Koslow has 1 UFC fights, so Phins has less to go on. In fights like this, prices have done better than Phins in the past.
What Drives Our Forecast
Fighter Elo points, toward each fighter.
Chad AnheligerSteven Koslow
Experience+37Striking+28Past Results+17Before the UFC+4Activity+7Grappling+40Age and Build+122
By the Numbers
The two fighters side by side. A dot marks the better number.
Chad AnheligerSteven Koslow
| 1258 | Fighter Elo | 1342 |
|---|---|---|
| 1482 | Classic Elo | 1484 |
| 2-3 | UFC Record | 0-1 |
| 39 | Age | 29 |
| 5'6" | Height | 5'7" |
| 64" | Reach | 69" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 3.11 | Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.77 |
| 2.90 | Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.73 |
| 54% | Striking Defense | 40% |
| 0.82 | Takedowns per 15 Minutes | 5.28 |
| 27% | Takedown Defense | – |
| 50% | Finish Rate | – |
Phins does not factor in any odds or prices; Kalshi's price is shown only for comparison. Phins is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to Kalshi. This is forecasting and analytics, not betting or financial advice.