Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow
Bantamweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 17
Fighter Elo 1258Lean: Steven KoslowFighter Elo 1342
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Chad AnheligerSteven Koslow
23%Decision28%
10%KO/TKO9%
4%Submission26%
51%Goes the Distance
10.7 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Steven Koslow is ahead by 84 in total.
Chad AnheligerSteven Koslow
Experience+37Striking+28Past Results+17Before the UFC+4Activity+7Grappling+40Age and Build+122
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Chad Anheliger | Steven Koslow | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.55 to 67 | Significant Strikes | 31.55 to 62 |
| 0.60 to 2 | Takedowns | 2.40 to 6 |
| 0.10 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 1.7 min0 to 5.4 | Control Time | 3.6 min0.2 to 8.8 |
| 0.20 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.60 to 2 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Chad Anheliger50%
Steven Koslow48%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Chad Anheliger lost by decision against Cody Gibson last time out, in 2024.
- Steven Koslow lost by KO/TKO against Cameron Saaiman last time out, in 2022.
- Steven Koslow is younger by 10 years.
- Steven Koslow has a longer reach by 5 inches.
- Chad Anheliger has been out for 2.0 years.
- Steven Koslow has been out for 3.9 years.
- The biggest single edge is age and build: 122 Fighter Elo points in favor of Steven Koslow.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.