Phins 26% 74%
Kalshi 17% 83%
9 Point Gap
Tale of the Tape · Middleweight · 3 Rounds
Julien Leblanc vs. Nick Galanti
Why Phins Sees It Differently
Phins is 10 points higher on Julien Leblanc than Kalshi's price (26% to 17%). Experience favors Julien Leblanc by 20 Fighter Elo points. Before the UFC pulls the other way, by 80 points toward Nick Galanti. Nick Galanti is making a UFC debut, so there is less to go on. The likeliest single ending is Nick Galanti by KO/TKO, at 28%. Julien Leblanc has 1 UFC fights, so Phins has less to go on. In fights like this, prices have done better than Phins in the past.
What Drives Our Forecast
Fighter Elo points, toward each fighter.
Julien LeblancNick Galanti
Experience+20Striking+3Activity+1Grappling+24Age and Build+42Past Results+53Before the UFC+80
By the Numbers
The two fighters side by side. A dot marks the better number.
Julien LeblancNick Galanti
| 1276 | Fighter Elo | 1453 |
|---|---|---|
| 1482 | Classic Elo | – |
| 0-1 | UFC Record | 0-0 |
| 34 | Age | nan |
| 1.69 | Strikes Landed per Minute | – |
| 2.96 | Strikes Absorbed per Minute | – |
| 46% | Striking Defense | – |
| 0.00 | Takedowns per 15 Minutes | – |
| 0% | Takedown Defense | – |
Phins does not factor in any odds or prices; Kalshi's price is shown only for comparison. Phins is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to Kalshi. This is forecasting and analytics, not betting or financial advice.