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    Tale of the Tape · Women's Bantamweight · 3 Rounds

    Melissa Croden vs. Chelsea Chandler

    Phins vs. Kalshi Phins Higher on Melissa Croden
    Melissa CrodenPhins PickKalshi Favorite
    vs.
    Chelsea Chandler
    Phins 77% 23%
    Kalshi 71% 29%
    6 Point Gap

    Why Phins Sees It Differently

    Phins is 6 points higher on Melissa Croden than Kalshi's price (77% to 71%). Striking favors Melissa Croden by 132 Fighter Elo points. The likeliest single ending is Melissa Croden by decision, at 43%.

    What Drives Our Forecast

    Fighter Elo points, toward each fighter.

    Melissa CrodenChelsea Chandler
    Striking+132Age and Build+19Past Results+18Experience+18Grappling+15Activity+3

    By the Numbers

    The two fighters side by side. A dot marks the better number.

    Melissa CrodenChelsea Chandler
    1553Fighter Elo1347
    1519Classic Elo1500
    2-1UFC Record3-3
    35Age35
    –Height5'8"
    –Reach68"
    –StanceSouthpaw
    4.27Strikes Landed per Minute3.52
    2.13Strikes Absorbed per Minute4.27
    59%Striking Defense40%
    2.02Takedowns per 15 Minutes0.81
    67%Takedown Defense25%
    50%Finish Rate67%
    Full Forecast View on Kalshi

    Phins does not factor in any odds or prices; Kalshi's price is shown only for comparison. Phins is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to Kalshi. This is forecasting and analytics, not betting or financial advice.