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Middleweight · Active

Christian Leroy Duncan

UFC Record
8-2
Age
31
Height
6'2"
Reach
79"
Stance
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Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1687Today
1593Classic Elo
#27 Men: Pound for Pound#5 Middleweight
14001500160017002024202520261439 going into Dusko Todorovic, Mar 20231482 going into Armen Petrosyan, Jun 20231483 going into Denis Tiuliulin, Nov 20231536 going into Claudio Ribeiro, Mar 20241611 going into Gregory Rodrigues, Jul 20241581 going into Andrey Pulyaev, Mar 20251603 going into Eryk Anders, Aug 20251628 going into Marco Tulio, Nov 20251645 going into Roman Dolidze, Mar 20261654 going into Jared Cannonier, Jul 20261687 today1687
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1593Today
1687Fighter Elo
#67 Men: Pound for Pound#11 Middleweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155016002024202520261500 going into Dusko Todorovic, Mar 20231516 going into Armen Petrosyan, Jun 20231500 going into Denis Tiuliulin, Nov 20231515 going into Claudio Ribeiro, Mar 20241529 going into Gregory Rodrigues, Jul 20241515 going into Andrey Pulyaev, Mar 20251530 going into Eryk Anders, Aug 20251546 going into Marco Tulio, Nov 20251561 going into Roman Dolidze, Mar 20261578 going into Jared Cannonier, Jul 20261593 today1593
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.45Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
58%Striking Accuracy
2.36Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
54%Striking Defense
0.43Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.43Takedowns per 15 Minutes
20%Takedown Accuracy
58%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
20%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins503
Losses002

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Jared CannonierUnanimous DecisionJul 18, 2026UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanJared Cannonier
1654Fighter Elo Going In1482
1578Classic Elo Going In1560
68 of 117Significant Strikes15 of 46
94 of 148Total Strikes36 of 69
1 of 3Takedowns5 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:16Control Time6:12
Winvs. Roman DolidzeUnanimous DecisionMar 21, 2026UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanRoman Dolidze
1645Fighter Elo Going In1460
1561Classic Elo Going In1578
54 of 99Significant Strikes10 of 34
78 of 125Total Strikes40 of 94
0 of 2Takedowns3 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:08Control Time7:07
Winvs. Marco TulioKO/TKO · R2 3:20Nov 8, 2025UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanMarco Tulio
1628Fighter Elo Going In1693
1546Classic Elo Going In1530
23 of 46Significant Strikes27 of 57
40 of 66Total Strikes42 of 75
1 of 1Takedowns2 of 5
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:10Control Time2:33
Winvs. Eryk AndersKO/TKO · R1 3:53Aug 9, 2025UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanEryk Anders
1603Fighter Elo Going In1455
1530Classic Elo Going In1525
24 of 43Significant Strikes7 of 12
27 of 46Total Strikes18 of 24
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:39Control Time1:18
Winvs. Andrey PulyaevUnanimous DecisionMar 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanAndrey Pulyaev
1581Fighter Elo Going In1476
1515Classic Elo Going In1500
73 of 141Significant Strikes18 of 55
116 of 187Total Strikes36 of 78
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:36Control Time1:49
Lossvs. Gregory RodriguesUnanimous DecisionJul 27, 2024UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanGregory Rodrigues
1611Fighter Elo Going In1613
1529Classic Elo Going In1561
29 of 48Significant Strikes45 of 79
53 of 77Total Strikes78 of 120
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 12
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:45Control Time8:20
Winvs. Claudio RibeiroKO/TKO · R2 1:57Mar 2, 2024UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanClaudio Ribeiro
1536Fighter Elo Going In1400
1515Classic Elo Going In1484
65 of 92Significant Strikes4 of 26
75 of 105Total Strikes13 of 39
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:15Control Time1:03
Winvs. Denis TiuliulinKO/TKO · R2 4:24Nov 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanDenis Tiuliulin
1483Fighter Elo Going In1327
1500Classic Elo Going In1472
65 of 87Significant Strikes30 of 71
90 of 123Total Strikes37 of 81
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:51Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Armen PetrosyanUnanimous DecisionJun 17, 2023UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanArmen Petrosyan
1482Fighter Elo Going In1493
1516Classic Elo Going In1517
59 of 122Significant Strikes89 of 156
73 of 136Total Strikes111 of 179
0 of 3Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:09Control Time3:21
Winvs. Dusko TodorovicKO/TKO · R1 1:52Mar 18, 2023UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Christian Leroy DuncanDusko Todorovic
1439Fighter Elo Going In1463
1500Classic Elo Going In1498
9 of 14Significant Strikes4 of 6
14 of 19Total Strikes6 of 8
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:38Control Time0:00