Guilherme Pat
- UFC Record
- 1-2
Fighter Elo
The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.
How Fighter Elo Works
Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.
Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.
Career Numbers
Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.
| Ended By | KO/TKO | Submission | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Fight History
Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.
Lossvs. Steven AsplundUnanimous DecisionAug 8, 2026UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Guilherme Pat | Steven Asplund | |
|---|---|---|
| 1426 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1625 |
| 1499 | Classic Elo Going In | 1501 |
| 45 of 76 | Significant Strikes | 66 of 109 |
| 72 of 103 | Total Strikes | 134 of 180 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 0 of 1 |
| 1 | Knockdowns | 2 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 1 |
| 2:50 | Control Time | 4:44 |
Lossvs. Thomas PetersenMajority DecisionApr 4, 2026UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1440 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1517 |
| 1516 | Classic Elo Going In | 1488 |
| 17 of 31 | Significant Strikes | 28 of 41 |
| 25 of 42 | Total Strikes | 164 of 199 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 0 of 5 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 1 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:00 | Control Time | 8:36 |
Winvs. Allen Frye Jr.Unanimous DecisionDec 13, 2025UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Guilherme Pat | Allen Frye Jr. | |
|---|---|---|
| 1376 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1411 |
| 1500 | Classic Elo Going In | 1500 |
| 64 of 100 | Significant Strikes | 33 of 86 |
| 76 of 114 | Total Strikes | 73 of 132 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 0 of 0 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:44 | Control Time | 7:55 |