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Heavyweight · Active

Thomas Petersen

UFC Record
3-4
Age
31
Height
6'1"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1519Today
1597Best, Feb 2025
1491Classic Elo
1450150015501600202520261478 going into Jamal Pogues, Feb 20241528 going into Mohammed Usman, Jul 20241597 going into Shamil Gaziev, Feb 20251495 going into Don'Tale Mayes, May 20251566 going into Vitor Petrino, Oct 20251517 going into Guilherme Pat, Apr 20261540 going into Valter Walker, Jul 20261519 today1519
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1491Today
1505Best, Jul 2026
1519Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550202520261500 going into Jamal Pogues, Feb 20241484 going into Mohammed Usman, Jul 20241502 going into Shamil Gaziev, Feb 20251487 going into Don'Tale Mayes, May 20251502 going into Vitor Petrino, Oct 20251488 going into Guilherme Pat, Apr 20261505 going into Valter Walker, Jul 20261491 today1491
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.99Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
58%Striking Accuracy
2.58Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
56%Striking Defense
0.20Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.59Takedowns per 15 Minutes
37%Takedown Accuracy
86%Takedown Defense
0.20Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
39%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.7 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins003
Losses211

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Valter WalkerSubmission · R1 1:32Jul 25, 2026UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thomas PetersenValter Walker
1540Fighter Elo Going In1619
1505Classic Elo Going In1546
0 of 1Significant Strikes1 of 1
6 of 7Total Strikes3 of 3
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
0:37Control Time0:09
Winvs. Guilherme PatMajority DecisionApr 4, 2026UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thomas PetersenGuilherme Pat
1517Fighter Elo Going In1440
1488Classic Elo Going In1516
28 of 41Significant Strikes17 of 31
164 of 199Total Strikes25 of 42
0 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:36Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO · R3 0:26Oct 11, 2025UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thomas PetersenVitor Petrino
1566Fighter Elo Going In1602
1502Classic Elo Going In1540
16 of 35Significant Strikes31 of 54
41 of 62Total Strikes33 of 61
0 of 8Takedowns1 of 6
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
2:06Control Time3:03
Winvs. Don'Tale MayesUnanimous DecisionMay 3, 2025UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thomas PetersenDon'Tale Mayes
1495Fighter Elo Going In1388
1487Classic Elo Going In1476
28 of 51Significant Strikes3 of 11
105 of 166Total Strikes13 of 23
9 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
13:49Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Shamil GazievKO/TKO · R1 3:12Feb 1, 2025UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thomas PetersenShamil Gaziev
1597Fighter Elo Going In1443
1502Classic Elo Going In1520
19 of 34Significant Strikes14 of 32
19 of 35Total Strikes14 of 32
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:01
Winvs. Mohammed UsmanUnanimous DecisionJul 20, 2024UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thomas PetersenMohammed Usman
1528Fighter Elo Going In1430
1484Classic Elo Going In1527
76 of 138Significant Strikes63 of 185
98 of 164Total Strikes63 of 185
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:01Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Jamal PoguesUnanimous DecisionFeb 3, 2024UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Thomas PetersenJamal Pogues
1478Fighter Elo Going In1425
1500Classic Elo Going In1499
58 of 86Significant Strikes65 of 124
116 of 153Total Strikes66 of 125
1 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:47Control Time0:04