Lucas Fernando
- UFC Record
- 1-0
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 6'3"
- Reach
- 80"
Fighter Elo
The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.
Joins the rankings after 3 UFC fights.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.
How Fighter Elo Works
Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.
Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.
Career Numbers
Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.
| Ended By | KO/TKO | Submission | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fight History
Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.
Winvs. Rafael TobiasKO/TKO · R3 1:10Aug 15, 2026UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias | |
|---|---|---|
| 1422 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1424 |
| 1500 | Classic Elo Going In | 1483 |
| 69 of 115 | Significant Strikes | 13 of 56 |
| 69 of 115 | Total Strikes | 14 of 58 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 1 of 1 |
| 2 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:09 | Control Time | 0:55 |