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Flyweight · Active

Lucas Rocha

UFC Record
1-1
Age
26
Height
5'3"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1468Going Into Their Last Fight, Oct 2025
1489Best, Oct 2024
1501Classic Elo

Joins the rankings after 3 UFC fights.

1450150020251489 going into Clayton Carpenter, Oct 20241468 going into Stewart Nicoll, Oct 20251468
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1501Today
1468Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550202520261500 going into Clayton Carpenter, Oct 20241485 going into Stewart Nicoll, Oct 20251501 today1501
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.95Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
49%Striking Accuracy
3.56Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
60%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.03Takedowns per 15 Minutes
75%Takedown Accuracy
83%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
6%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.1 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins001
Losses010

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Stewart NicollUnanimous DecisionOct 11, 2025UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lucas RochaStewart Nicoll
1468Fighter Elo Going In1359
1485Classic Elo Going In1485
115 of 226Significant Strikes45 of 138
130 of 244Total Strikes46 of 139
3 of 4Takedowns2 of 20
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:25Control Time1:30
Lossvs. Clayton CarpenterSubmission · R2 2:12Oct 12, 2024UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lucas RochaClayton Carpenter
1489Fighter Elo Going In1449
1500Classic Elo Going In1515
17 of 41Significant Strikes34 of 60
21 of 45Total Strikes36 of 62
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time4:38