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Flyweight · Active

Clayton Carpenter

UFC Record
2-3
Age
30
Height
5'6"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1326Today
1563Best, Jan 2025
1482Classic Elo
13001400150016002024202520261449 going into Juancamilo Ronderos, Feb 20231449 going into Lucas Rocha, Oct 20241563 going into Tagir Ulanbekov, Jan 20251498 going into Jafel Filho, Oct 20251457 going into Jose Ochoa, May 20261326 today1326
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1482Today
1531Best, Jan 2025
1326Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502024202520261500 going into Juancamilo Ronderos, Feb 20231515 going into Lucas Rocha, Oct 20241531 going into Tagir Ulanbekov, Jan 20251515 going into Jafel Filho, Oct 20251499 going into Jose Ochoa, May 20261482 today1482
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.41Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
50%Striking Accuracy
4.83Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
46%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.33Takedowns per 15 Minutes
29%Takedown Accuracy
50%Takedown Defense
1.33Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
25%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins020
Losses012

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Jose OchoaUnanimous DecisionMay 9, 2026UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clayton CarpenterJose Ochoa
1457Fighter Elo Going In1556
1499Classic Elo Going In1487
68 of 153Significant Strikes153 of 269
70 of 155Total Strikes180 of 296
1 of 7Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:07Control Time1:09
Lossvs. Jafel FilhoSubmission · R1 4:42Oct 11, 2025UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clayton CarpenterJafel Filho
1498Fighter Elo Going In1479
1515Classic Elo Going In1502
7 of 21Significant Strikes5 of 13
12 of 27Total Strikes28 of 38
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:04Control Time2:23
Lossvs. Tagir UlanbekovUnanimous DecisionJan 18, 2025UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clayton CarpenterTagir Ulanbekov
1563Fighter Elo Going In1517
1531Classic Elo Going In1545
42 of 69Significant Strikes42 of 75
86 of 117Total Strikes100 of 138
1 of 4Takedowns3 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:01Control Time6:49
Winvs. Lucas RochaSubmission · R2 2:12Oct 12, 2024UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clayton CarpenterLucas Rocha
1449Fighter Elo Going In1489
1515Classic Elo Going In1500
34 of 60Significant Strikes17 of 41
36 of 62Total Strikes21 of 45
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:38Control Time0:00
Winvs. Juancamilo RonderosSubmission · R1 3:13Feb 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clayton CarpenterJuancamilo Ronderos
1449Fighter Elo Going In1379
1500Classic Elo Going In1485
3 of 5Significant Strikes1 of 7
3 of 5Total Strikes46 of 56
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
1:19Control Time1:22