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Welterweight · Active

Sam Patterson

UFC Record
5-2
Age
30
Height
6'3"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1666Today
1549Classic Elo
14001500160017002024202520261518 going into Yanal Ashmouz, Mar 20231484 going into Yohan Lainesse, Jan 20241544 going into Kiefer Crosbie, Jul 20241501 going into Danny Barlow, Mar 20251530 going into Trey Waters, Sep 20251544 going into Michael Page, Mar 20261514 going into Santiago Ponzinibbio, Jul 20261666 today1666
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1549Today
1666Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502024202520261500 going into Yanal Ashmouz, Mar 20231484 going into Yohan Lainesse, Jan 20241500 going into Kiefer Crosbie, Jul 20241515 going into Danny Barlow, Mar 20251532 going into Trey Waters, Sep 20251548 going into Michael Page, Mar 20261532 going into Santiago Ponzinibbio, Jul 20261549 today1549
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.81Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
42%Striking Accuracy
2.79Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
61%Striking Defense
1.27Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.85Takedowns per 15 Minutes
50%Takedown Accuracy
50%Takedown Defense
0.85Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
13%Share of Fight Time in Control
5.1 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins320
Losses101

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO · R2 3:06Jul 25, 2026UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sam PattersonSantiago Ponzinibbio
1514Fighter Elo Going In1408
1532Classic Elo Going In1554
64 of 132Significant Strikes14 of 86
65 of 133Total Strikes14 of 86
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Michael PageUnanimous DecisionMar 21, 2026UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sam PattersonMichael Page
1544Fighter Elo Going In1572
1548Classic Elo Going In1544
12 of 64Significant Strikes27 of 55
25 of 78Total Strikes33 of 61
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:47Control Time0:26
Winvs. Trey WatersKO/TKO · R1 3:01Sep 6, 2025UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sam PattersonTrey Waters
1530Fighter Elo Going In1411
1532Classic Elo Going In1533
25 of 48Significant Strikes18 of 38
25 of 48Total Strikes18 of 38
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Danny BarlowKO/TKO · R1 3:10Mar 1, 2025UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sam PattersonDanny Barlow
1501Fighter Elo Going In1641
1515Classic Elo Going In1531
18 of 34Significant Strikes15 of 30
18 of 34Total Strikes15 of 30
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00
Winvs. Kiefer CrosbieSubmission · R1 2:50Jul 27, 2024UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sam PattersonKiefer Crosbie
1544Fighter Elo Going In1296
1500Classic Elo Going In1484
9 of 26Significant Strikes9 of 16
13 of 31Total Strikes10 of 17
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:56Control Time0:15
Winvs. Yohan LainesseSubmission · R1 2:03Jan 20, 2024UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sam PattersonYohan Lainesse
1484Fighter Elo Going In1429
1484Classic Elo Going In1484
5 of 10Significant Strikes1 of 9
5 of 10Total Strikes1 of 9
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:41Control Time0:05
Lossvs. Yanal AshmouzKO/TKO · R1 1:15Mar 18, 2023UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
1518Fighter Elo Going In1389
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
2 of 7Significant Strikes15 of 20
2 of 7Total Strikes15 of 20
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:07