Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris
Heavyweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 10
RJ Harris64%
Fighter Elo 1378Lean: RJ HarrisFighter Elo 1474
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Allen Frye Jr.RJ Harris
19%Decision23%
12%KO/TKO37%
6%Submission4%
42%Goes the Distance
9.5 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. RJ Harris is ahead by 96 in total.
Allen Frye Jr.RJ Harris
Experience+27Activity+13Past Results+1Before the UFC+9Grappling+18Age and Build+28Striking+83
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Allen Frye Jr. | RJ Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.64 to 64 | Significant Strikes | 406 to 82 |
| 0.90 to 3 | Takedowns | 0.50 to 2 |
| 0.10 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.40 to 1 |
| 3 min0 to 8.1 | Control Time | 1.4 min0 to 4.4 |
| 0.20 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.20 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Allen Frye Jr.37%
RJ Harris50%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Allen Frye Jr. lost by decision against Guilherme Pat last time out, in 2025.
- RJ Harris won by KO/TKO against Alvin Hines last time out, in 2026.
- The biggest single edge is striking: 83 Fighter Elo points in favor of RJ Harris.
- The likeliest single ending in the forecast is RJ Harris by KO/TKO, at 37%.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.