PhinsPhins
Create AccountUpgrade to PremiumPremium
Welcome!
FollowingEdit
    UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

    Cody Chovancek vs. You Su-young

    Bantamweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 17
    Cody Chovancek61%
    You Su-young39%
    Fighter Elo 1462Lean: Cody ChovancekFighter Elo 1382

    How It Ends

    The chance of each ending, for each fighter.

    Cody ChovancekYou Su-young
    28%Decision20%
    21%KO/TKO12%
    12%Submission7%
    48%Goes the Distance
    10.1 minAverage Length, of 15

    When It Ends

    The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.

    Round 130%Round 215%Round 38%Decision48%

    Where the Gap Comes From

    In Fighter Elo points. Cody Chovancek is ahead by 80 in total.

    Cody ChovancekYou Su-young
    Before the UFC+76Age and Build+5

    Projected Numbers

    The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.

    Cody ChovancekYou Su-young
    36.86 to 75Significant Strikes345 to 70
    1.40 to 4Takedowns10 to 3
    0.30 to 1Knockdowns0.20 to 1
    2.7 min0 to 7.2Control Time1.9 min0 to 5.6
    0.40 to 2Submission Attempts0.40 to 1

    Chance of at Least

    Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.

    Cody Chovancek47%
    You Su-young43%

    Worth Knowing

    Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.

    • Cody Chovancek is making a UFC debut, so there is less to go on.
    • You Su-young is making a UFC debut, so there is less to go on.
    • The biggest single edge is the record before the UFC: 76 Fighter Elo points in favor of Cody Chovancek.
    • The likeliest single ending in the forecast is Cody Chovancek by decision, at 28%.

    Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.