Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Otari Tanzilovi
Bantamweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 10
Fighter Elo 1451Toss-Up: Malcolm WellmakerFighter Elo 1430
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Malcolm WellmakerOtari Tanzilovi
25%Decision23%
22%KO/TKO12%
6%Submission12%
48%Goes the Distance
10.3 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Malcolm Wellmaker is ahead by 21 in total.
Malcolm WellmakerOtari Tanzilovi
Past Results+21Striking+17Experience+10Before the UFC+8Activity+3Grappling+1Age and Build+35
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Malcolm Wellmaker | Otari Tanzilovi | |
|---|---|---|
| 42.27 to 84 | Significant Strikes | 34.66 to 69 |
| 0.60 to 2 | Takedowns | 20 to 5 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 1.2 min0 to 3.7 | Control Time | 2.4 min0 to 6.4 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.40 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Malcolm Wellmaker47%
Otari Tanzilovi37%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Malcolm Wellmaker has lost their last 2 UFC fights.
- Otari Tanzilovi lost by decision against Shane Collins last time out, in 2026.
- Otari Tanzilovi is younger by 4 years.
- The biggest single edge is age and build: 35 Fighter Elo points in favor of Otari Tanzilovi.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.