Julius Walker vs. Gerald Meerschaert
Light Heavyweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 10
Fighter Elo 1460Toss-Up: Julius WalkerFighter Elo 1455
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Julius WalkerGerald Meerschaert
25%Decision13%
19%KO/TKO13%
6%Submission24%
38%Goes the Distance
9 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Julius Walker is ahead by 5 in total.
Julius WalkerGerald Meerschaert
Age and Build+121Grappling+24Experience+3Activity+4Past Results+62Striking+71
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Julius Walker | Gerald Meerschaert | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.24 to 70 | Significant Strikes | 24.63 to 52 |
| 1.50 to 4 | Takedowns | 0.70 to 2 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.10 to 1 |
| 2.4 min0 to 6.7 | Control Time | 2 min0 to 5.8 |
| 0.20 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.60 to 2 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Julius Walker44%
Gerald Meerschaert34%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Julius Walker has lost their last 2 UFC fights.
- Gerald Meerschaert has lost their last 5 UFC fights.
- Julius Walker is younger by 12 years.
- Julius Walker averages 4.1 takedowns per 15 minutes. Gerald Meerschaert has stopped 40% of the takedowns tried on them.
- Gerald Meerschaert has finished 12 of 12 UFC wins (1 by KO/TKO, 11 by submission).
- Gerald Meerschaert has 26 UFC fights to Julius Walker's 4.
- The biggest single edge is age and build: 121 Fighter Elo points in favor of Julius Walker.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.