UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Phins called 11 of 14 winners on this card. Its forecasts added up to about 8.8, so that is better than its own forecasts expected. The surest call that landed was Anthony Wint at 78%. The biggest miss was Ateba Gautier at 68%.
By how sure Phins was: Toss-Up 2 of 3, Lean 4 of 5, Confident 4 of 5, Very Confident 1 of 1.
The Calls That Landed
The picks Phins was surest of that came in.
- Anthony Wint, given 78%, won by KO/TKO.
- Jacobe Smith, given 73%, won by KO/TKO.
- Damian Pinas, given 70%, won by KO/TKO.
- Payton Talbott, given 66%, won by KO/TKO.
In 5 fights it had both the winner and the way it ended as its single likeliest outcome.
The Misses
Every pick that lost, biggest first. They stay on the page.
- Phins had Ateba Gautier at 68%. Roman Kopylov won by KO/TKO.
- Phins had King Green at 63%. Esteban Ribovics won by KO/TKO.
- Phins had Alden Coria at 52%. Imanol Rodriguez won by KO/TKO.
Close to the Numbers
Projected significant strikes against what each fighter landed.
- Ismail Naurdiev: projected 67 significant strikes, landed 74.
- Johnny Walker: projected 34 significant strikes, landed 23.
- Wang Cong: projected 85 significant strikes, landed 98.
- Eric Nolan: projected 47 significant strikes, landed 121.
- King Green: projected 98 significant strikes, landed 27.
- Roberto Soldic: projected 38 significant strikes, landed 94.
A projection is an average over every way the fight could go, so a quick finish lands well under it and a long fight lands over. Across all the number calls on this card, the likelier side came in 430 of 532 times.
Who Moved
The biggest changes in Fighter Elo from this card.
- Eric Nolan: up 100 to 1484.
- Esteban Ribovics: up 65 to 1501.
- Natalia Silva: up 47 to 1688.
- Khaos Williams: down 89 to 1314.
- Ateba Gautier: down 56 to 1579.
- Damian Pinas: down 54 to 1618.
Every Fight
The pick, the chance Phins gave it, and what happened.
| Fight | Pick | Chance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | Natalia Silva | 61% | Right Natalia Silva by decision |
| Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | Payton Talbott | 66% | Right Payton Talbott by KO/TKO |
| King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics | King Green | 63% | Wrong Esteban Ribovics by KO/TKO |
| Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams | Roberto Soldic | 55% | Right Roberto Soldic by decision |
| Ateba Gautier vs. Roman Kopylov | Ateba Gautier | 68% | Wrong Roman Kopylov by KO/TKO |
| Imanol Rodriguez vs. Alden Coria | Alden Coria | 52% | Wrong Imanol Rodriguez by KO/TKO |
| Damian Pinas vs. Andrey Pulyaev | Damian Pinas | 70% | Right Damian Pinas by KO/TKO |
| Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero | Marcus McGhee | 65% | Right Marcus McGhee by KO/TKO |
| Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand | Anthony Wint | 78% | Right Anthony Wint by KO/TKO |
| Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin | Johnny Walker | 53% | Right Johnny Walker by KO/TKO |
| Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead | Jacobe Smith | 73% | Right Jacobe Smith by KO/TKO |
| Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez | 60% | Right Alexander Hernandez by KO/TKO |
| Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | Ismail Naurdiev | 53% | Right Ismail Naurdiev by decision |
| Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan | Eric Nolan | 62% | Right Eric Nolan by KO/TKO |
This report is written automatically from the forecasts saved before the card and the official results. Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.