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Welterweight · Active

Carlos Leal

UFC Record
2-2
Age
32
Height
5'11"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1484Today
1559Best, Jul 2025
1510Classic Elo
1300140015001600202520261396 · Before facing Rinat Fakhretdinov, Oct 20241531 · Before facing Alex Morono, Mar 20251559 · Before facing Muslim Salikhov, Jul 20251515 · Before facing Chidi Njokuani, Feb 20261484 · Today, Oct 20261484
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today. Point at the graph, or touch it, to read a rating.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500.

The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

As well as results, it counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo
1510Today
1484Fighter Elo
145015001550202520261500 · Before facing Rinat Fakhretdinov, Oct 20241487 · Before facing Alex Morono, Mar 20251506 · Before facing Muslim Salikhov, Jul 20251493 · Before facing Chidi Njokuani, Feb 20261510 · Today, Oct 20261510
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one. Point at the graph, or touch it, to read a rating.

How Classic Elo Works

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Every fighter starts at 1500.

The winner takes points from the loser. Beating a higher-rated fighter earns more than beating a lower-rated one, and losing to one costs less. A draw moves the two a little closer together.

It ignores how the fight went, age and time away, so it reads more like normal rankings. It is one of the things Fighter Elo is built from.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

8.75Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
47%Striking Accuracy
7.78Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
49%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.43Takedowns per 15 Minutes
11%Takedown Accuracy
91%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
7%Share of Fight Time in Control
8.7 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins101
Losses101

Fighters Like This One

By style, not by ranking: how they fight, measured across their UFC fights.

Striker. Does most of their work standing.

StrikerGrappler
Fights Most Like
  1. Frank CamachoLightweight · 2-6
  2. Chase ShermanHeavyweight · 4-11
  3. Shane BurgosFeatherweight · 8-3
  4. Parker PorterHeavyweight · 4-4
  5. Michael Aswell Jr.Featherweight · 2-31458
Where They Stand
Striking Volume
100
Striking Defense
21
Knockdown Power
14
Takedowns
19
Takedown Defense
95
Submission Threat
13
Control
17

Percentile among men with 4 or more UFC fights. 50 is typical.

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Chidi NjokuaniUnanimous DecisionFeb 21, 2026UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos LealChidi Njokuani
1515Fighter Elo Going In1483
1493Classic Elo Going In1519
115 of 276Significant Strikes120 of 205
126 of 287Total Strikes124 of 210
0 of 5Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:20Control Time0:06
Lossvs. Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO · R1 0:42Jul 26, 2025UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos LealMuslim Salikhov
1559Fighter Elo Going In1471
1506Classic Elo Going In1572
5 of 9Significant Strikes3 of 9
5 of 9Total Strikes3 of 9
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Alex MoronoKO/TKO · R1 4:16Mar 8, 2025UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos LealAlex Morono
1531Fighter Elo Going In1404
1487Classic Elo Going In1548
79 of 120Significant Strikes40 of 95
81 of 123Total Strikes41 of 96
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:20
Lossvs. Rinat FakhretdinovUnanimous DecisionOct 26, 2024UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos LealRinat Fakhretdinov
1396Fighter Elo Going In1640
1500Classic Elo Going In1569
107 of 246Significant Strikes109 of 222
146 of 292Total Strikes119 of 236
1 of 4Takedowns2 of 19
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:13Control Time3:14