Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan
Welterweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 10
Fighter Elo 1305Toss-Up: Niko PriceFighter Elo 1267
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Niko PriceLeon Shahbazyan
11%Decision16%
32%KO/TKO16%
12%Submission12%
27%Goes the Distance
7.6 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Niko Price is ahead by 38 in total.
Niko PriceLeon Shahbazyan
Before the UFC+77Past Results+62Experience+40Activity+6Grappling+40Striking+52Age and Build+55
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Niko Price | Leon Shahbazyan | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.55 to 80 | Significant Strikes | 32.14 to 74 |
| 0.60 to 2 | Takedowns | 1.10 to 3 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 1.5 min0 to 4.6 | Control Time | 1.8 min0 to 5.3 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.40 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Niko Price40%
Leon Shahbazyan36%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Niko Price has lost their last 4 UFC fights.
- Leon Shahbazyan lost by KO/TKO against Levan Chokheli last time out, in 2026.
- Leon Shahbazyan is younger by 6 years.
- Niko Price has a longer reach by 2 inches.
- Niko Price has finished 6 of 8 UFC wins (4 by KO/TKO, 2 by submission).
- Niko Price has 19 UFC fights to Leon Shahbazyan's 1.
- The biggest single edge is the record before the UFC: 77 Fighter Elo points in favor of Niko Price.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.