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All Fighters
Lightweight · Last Fought May 2022

Alan Patrick

UFC Record
5-4
Age
43
Height
5'11"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1343Going Into Their Last Fight, May 2022
1567Best, Jun 2015
1511Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1300140015001600201420162018202020221393 going into Garett Whiteley, Oct 20131492 going into John Makdessi, Feb 20141567 going into Mairbek Taisumov, Jun 20151473 going into Damien Brown, Mar 20161507 going into Stevie Ray, Sep 20161495 going into Damir Hadzovic, Feb 20181516 going into Scott Holtzman, Oct 20181376 going into King Green, Sep 20201343 going into Michael Johnson, May 20221343
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1511After Their Last Fight, May 2022
1563Best, Oct 2018
1343Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600201420162018202020221500 going into Garett Whiteley, Oct 20131516 going into John Makdessi, Feb 20141533 going into Mairbek Taisumov, Jun 20151517 going into Damien Brown, Mar 20161532 going into Stevie Ray, Sep 20161549 going into Damir Hadzovic, Feb 20181563 going into Scott Holtzman, Oct 20181545 going into King Green, Sep 20201529 going into Michael Johnson, May 20221511 after their last fight1511
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

1.82Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
41%Striking Accuracy
2.95Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
44%Striking Defense
0.13Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.01Takedowns per 15 Minutes
33%Takedown Accuracy
44%Takedown Defense
0.26Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
37%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins104
Losses301

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Michael JohnsonKO/TKO · R2 3:22May 14, 2022UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickMichael Johnson
1343Fighter Elo Going In1374
1529Classic Elo Going In1483
22 of 47Significant Strikes30 of 48
30 of 56Total Strikes40 of 61
0 of 5Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time2:01
Lossvs. King GreenUnanimous DecisionSep 12, 2020UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickKing Green
1376Fighter Elo Going In1591
1545Classic Elo Going In1537
19 of 69Significant Strikes61 of 95
38 of 89Total Strikes109 of 149
1 of 6Takedowns4 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:43Control Time7:31
Lossvs. Scott HoltzmanKO/TKO · R3 3:42Oct 6, 2018UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickScott Holtzman
1516Fighter Elo Going In1449
1563Classic Elo Going In1528
25 of 62Significant Strikes73 of 111
27 of 65Total Strikes96 of 138
0 of 4Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:13Control Time5:33
Winvs. Damir HadzovicUnanimous DecisionFeb 3, 2018UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickDamir Hadzovic
1495Fighter Elo Going In1449
1549Classic Elo Going In1502
28 of 45Significant Strikes20 of 25
91 of 129Total Strikes67 of 81
9 of 15Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
12:29Control Time0:48
Winvs. Stevie RayUnanimous DecisionSep 24, 2016UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickStevie Ray
1507Fighter Elo Going In1579
1532Classic Elo Going In1545
7 of 12Significant Strikes2 of 9
60 of 75Total Strikes56 of 65
5 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
12:12Control Time1:32
Winvs. Damien BrownUnanimous DecisionMar 19, 2016UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickDamien Brown
1473Fighter Elo Going In1335
1517Classic Elo Going In1500
25 of 39Significant Strikes15 of 25
117 of 147Total Strikes51 of 64
5 of 7Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
12:24Control Time0:37
Lossvs. Mairbek TaisumovKO/TKO · R2 1:30Jun 20, 2015UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickMairbek Taisumov
1567Fighter Elo Going In1603
1533Classic Elo Going In1531
17 of 38Significant Strikes23 of 43
17 of 38Total Strikes24 of 44
0 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:23Control Time0:15
Winvs. John MakdessiUnanimous DecisionFeb 1, 2014UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickJohn Makdessi
1492Fighter Elo Going In1607
1516Classic Elo Going In1545
40 of 134Significant Strikes61 of 129
42 of 136Total Strikes66 of 134
2 of 11Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:40Control Time0:01
Winvs. Garett WhiteleyKO/TKO · R1 3:54Oct 9, 2013UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alan PatrickGarett Whiteley
1393Fighter Elo Going In1352
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
16 of 35Significant Strikes7 of 28
19 of 42Total Strikes15 of 36
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:53Control Time0:05