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Welterweight · Active

Francisco Prado

UFC Record
1-5
Age
24
Height
5'10"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1487Today
1559Best, Feb 2024
1445Classic Elo
14501500155016002024202520261471 going into Jamie Mullarkey, Feb 20231478 going into Ottman Azaitar, Jul 20231559 going into Daniel Zellhuber, Feb 20241491 going into Jake Matthews, Feb 20251500 going into Nikolay Veretennikov, Jul 20251514 going into Charles Radtke, Apr 20261487 today1487
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1445Today
1502Best, Feb 2024
1487Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14001450150015502024202520261500 going into Jamie Mullarkey, Feb 20231484 going into Ottman Azaitar, Jul 20231502 going into Daniel Zellhuber, Feb 20241486 going into Jake Matthews, Feb 20251474 going into Nikolay Veretennikov, Jul 20251458 going into Charles Radtke, Apr 20261445 today1445
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.68Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
44%Striking Accuracy
4.31Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
54%Striking Defense
0.19Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.76Takedowns per 15 Minutes
19%Takedown Accuracy
40%Takedown Defense
0.76Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
16%Share of Fight Time in Control
13.2 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins100
Losses005

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Charles RadtkeUnanimous DecisionApr 11, 2026UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Francisco PradoCharles Radtke
1514Fighter Elo Going In1483
1458Classic Elo Going In1528
29 of 66Significant Strikes24 of 47
41 of 79Total Strikes121 of 164
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 5
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:50Control Time9:07
Lossvs. Nikolay VeretennikovSplit DecisionJul 19, 2025UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Francisco PradoNikolay Veretennikov
1500Fighter Elo Going In1327
1474Classic Elo Going In1469
47 of 77Significant Strikes56 of 105
64 of 94Total Strikes84 of 133
3 of 10Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
6:49Control Time2:33
Lossvs. Jake MatthewsUnanimous DecisionFeb 8, 2025UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Francisco PradoJake Matthews
1491Fighter Elo Going In1572
1486Classic Elo Going In1574
59 of 146Significant Strikes68 of 184
64 of 152Total Strikes95 of 215
1 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:16Control Time0:40
Lossvs. Daniel ZellhuberUnanimous DecisionFeb 24, 2024UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Francisco PradoDaniel Zellhuber
1559Fighter Elo Going In1565
1502Classic Elo Going In1516
90 of 246Significant Strikes120 of 272
91 of 249Total Strikes120 of 272
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:25Control Time0:05
Winvs. Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO · R1 4:05Jul 15, 2023UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Francisco PradoOttman Azaitar
1478Fighter Elo Going In1409
1484Classic Elo Going In1515
38 of 57Significant Strikes14 of 33
42 of 61Total Strikes16 of 36
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:49Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Jamie MullarkeyUnanimous DecisionFeb 11, 2023UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Francisco PradoJamie Mullarkey
1471Fighter Elo Going In1517
1500Classic Elo Going In1506
28 of 75Significant Strikes59 of 104
31 of 78Total Strikes78 of 126
0 of 2Takedowns3 of 4
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:10Control Time4:47