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Welterweight · Active

Jake Matthews

UFC Record
16-8
Age
32
Height
5'11"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1576Today
1763Best, May 2015
1597Classic Elo
#90 Men: Pound for Pound#20 Welterweight
140015001600170018002015201720192021202320251493 going into Dashon Johnson, Jun 20141649 going into Vagner Rocha, Nov 20141763 going into James Vick, May 20151666 going into Akbarh Arreola, Nov 20151677 going into Johnny Case, Mar 20161737 going into Kevin Lee, Jul 20161660 going into Andrew Holbrook, Nov 20161624 going into Bojan Velickovic, Nov 20171609 going into Li Jingliang, Feb 20181676 going into Shinsho Anzai, Jun 20181681 going into Anthony Rocco Martin, Dec 20181667 going into Rostem Akman, Oct 20191683 going into Emil Meek, Feb 20201665 going into Diego Sanchez, Sep 20201687 going into Sean Brady, Mar 20211573 going into Andre Fialho, Jun 20221624 going into Matthew Semelsberger, Dec 20221597 going into Darrius Flowers, Jul 20231595 going into Michael Morales, Nov 20231587 going into Phil Rowe, Jun 20241572 going into Francisco Prado, Feb 20251552 going into Chidi Njokuani, Jul 20251538 going into Neil Magny, Sep 20251555 going into Carlston Harris, May 20261576 today1576
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1597Today
1600Best, Sep 2025
1576Fighter Elo
#59 Men: Pound for Pound#15 Welterweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155016002015201720192021202320251500 going into Dashon Johnson, Jun 20141516 going into Vagner Rocha, Nov 20141531 going into James Vick, May 20151515 going into Akbarh Arreola, Nov 20151530 going into Johnny Case, Mar 20161547 going into Kevin Lee, Jul 20161531 going into Andrew Holbrook, Nov 20161514 going into Bojan Velickovic, Nov 20171529 going into Li Jingliang, Feb 20181547 going into Shinsho Anzai, Jun 20181561 going into Anthony Rocco Martin, Dec 20181544 going into Rostem Akman, Oct 20191558 going into Emil Meek, Feb 20201570 going into Diego Sanchez, Sep 20201586 going into Sean Brady, Mar 20211569 going into Andre Fialho, Jun 20221582 going into Matthew Semelsberger, Dec 20221564 going into Darrius Flowers, Jul 20231577 going into Michael Morales, Nov 20231560 going into Phil Rowe, Jun 20241574 going into Francisco Prado, Feb 20251586 going into Chidi Njokuani, Jul 20251600 going into Neil Magny, Sep 20251584 going into Carlston Harris, May 20261597 today1597
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.35Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
44%Striking Accuracy
2.58Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
61%Striking Defense
0.33Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.36Takedowns per 15 Minutes
42%Takedown Accuracy
67%Takedown Defense
0.71Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
26%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins268
Losses143

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Carlston HarrisUnanimous DecisionMay 30, 2026UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsCarlston Harris
1555Fighter Elo Going In1361
1584Classic Elo Going In1517
55 of 96Significant Strikes27 of 75
109 of 173Total Strikes40 of 88
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
9:30Control Time0:27
Lossvs. Neil MagnySubmission · R3 3:08Sep 27, 2025UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsNeil Magny
1538Fighter Elo Going In1458
1600Classic Elo Going In1611
18 of 44Significant Strikes31 of 57
28 of 54Total Strikes73 of 103
0 of 1Takedowns3 of 5
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts1
4:43Control Time2:46
Winvs. Chidi NjokuaniSubmission · R1 1:09Jul 12, 2025UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsChidi Njokuani
1552Fighter Elo Going In1489
1586Classic Elo Going In1533
3 of 7Significant Strikes5 of 10
5 of 9Total Strikes5 of 10
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:29Control Time0:00
Winvs. Francisco PradoUnanimous DecisionFeb 8, 2025UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsFrancisco Prado
1572Fighter Elo Going In1491
1574Classic Elo Going In1486
68 of 184Significant Strikes59 of 146
95 of 215Total Strikes64 of 152
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:40Control Time2:16
Winvs. Phil RoweUnanimous DecisionJun 1, 2024UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsPhil Rowe
1587Fighter Elo Going In1485
1560Classic Elo Going In1521
66 of 164Significant Strikes34 of 104
89 of 188Total Strikes40 of 111
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:04Control Time1:50
Lossvs. Michael MoralesUnanimous DecisionNov 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsMichael Morales
1595Fighter Elo Going In1671
1577Classic Elo Going In1548
57 of 149Significant Strikes84 of 208
57 of 149Total Strikes84 of 208
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:07
Winvs. Darrius FlowersSubmission · R2 2:37Jul 29, 2023UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsDarrius Flowers
1597Fighter Elo Going In1400
1564Classic Elo Going In1500
60 of 101Significant Strikes36 of 64
71 of 113Total Strikes41 of 69
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:15Control Time1:03
Lossvs. Matthew SemelsbergerUnanimous DecisionDec 17, 2022UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsMatthew Semelsberger
1624Fighter Elo Going In1464
1582Classic Elo Going In1530
32 of 89Significant Strikes45 of 116
74 of 140Total Strikes54 of 129
1 of 2Takedowns3 of 5
0Knockdowns3
1Submission Attempts0
1:42Control Time4:16
Winvs. Andre FialhoKO/TKO · R2 2:24Jun 11, 2022UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsAndre Fialho
1573Fighter Elo Going In1486
1569Classic Elo Going In1519
47 of 89Significant Strikes18 of 51
47 of 89Total Strikes19 of 52
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Sean BradySubmission · R3 3:28Mar 6, 2021UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsSean Brady
1687Fighter Elo Going In1652
1586Classic Elo Going In1548
21 of 84Significant Strikes37 of 68
32 of 95Total Strikes133 of 187
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:04Control Time8:08
Winvs. Diego SanchezUnanimous DecisionSep 26, 2020UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsDiego Sanchez
1665Fighter Elo Going In1314
1570Classic Elo Going In1568
72 of 148Significant Strikes25 of 81
93 of 174Total Strikes38 of 95
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:52Control Time0:00
Winvs. Emil MeekUnanimous DecisionFeb 22, 2020UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsEmil Meek
1683Fighter Elo Going In1421
1558Classic Elo Going In1490
33 of 73Significant Strikes50 of 118
71 of 112Total Strikes85 of 162
4 of 7Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:28Control Time0:04
Winvs. Rostem AkmanUnanimous DecisionOct 5, 2019UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsRostem Akman
1667Fighter Elo Going In1452
1544Classic Elo Going In1484
59 of 133Significant Strikes15 of 110
61 of 136Total Strikes15 of 110
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:49Control Time0:03
Lossvs. Anthony Rocco MartinSubmission · R3 1:19Dec 1, 2018UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsAnthony Rocco Martin
1681Fighter Elo Going In1622
1561Classic Elo Going In1541
24 of 75Significant Strikes25 of 86
27 of 78Total Strikes33 of 94
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
0:39Control Time1:11
Winvs. Shinsho AnzaiSubmission · R1 2:44Jun 23, 2018UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsShinsho Anzai
1676Fighter Elo Going In1432
1547Classic Elo Going In1517
12 of 19Significant Strikes1 of 5
18 of 25Total Strikes6 of 13
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:00Control Time0:56
Winvs. Li JingliangUnanimous DecisionFeb 10, 2018UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsLi Jingliang
1609Fighter Elo Going In1564
1529Classic Elo Going In1557
63 of 127Significant Strikes49 of 152
89 of 156Total Strikes56 of 163
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 1
2Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
3:25Control Time1:12
Winvs. Bojan VelickovicSplit DecisionNov 18, 2017UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsBojan Velickovic
1624Fighter Elo Going In1490
1514Classic Elo Going In1501
20 of 34Significant Strikes24 of 48
50 of 69Total Strikes113 of 163
4 of 11Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
7:05Control Time4:36
Lossvs. Andrew HolbrookSplit DecisionNov 26, 2016UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsAndrew Holbrook
1660Fighter Elo Going In1399
1531Classic Elo Going In1501
22 of 62Significant Strikes30 of 53
29 of 70Total Strikes80 of 106
3 of 3Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
5:19Control Time2:54
Lossvs. Kevin LeeKO/TKO · R1 4:06Jul 8, 2016The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsKevin Lee
1737Fighter Elo Going In1602
1547Classic Elo Going In1545
5 of 13Significant Strikes24 of 38
5 of 13Total Strikes36 of 51
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time2:35
Winvs. Johnny CaseSubmission · R3 4:45Mar 19, 2016UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsJohnny Case
1677Fighter Elo Going In1644
1530Classic Elo Going In1560
36 of 114Significant Strikes35 of 100
50 of 129Total Strikes49 of 116
0 of 4Takedowns1 of 6
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:14Control Time3:17
Winvs. Akbarh ArreolaTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 5:00Nov 14, 2015UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsAkbarh Arreola
1666Fighter Elo Going In1414
1515Classic Elo Going In1486
62 of 98Significant Strikes21 of 41
96 of 136Total Strikes33 of 55
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
5:39Control Time1:59
Lossvs. James VickSubmission · R1 4:53May 9, 2015UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsJames Vick
1763Fighter Elo Going In1537
1531Classic Elo Going In1547
4 of 28Significant Strikes10 of 26
4 of 28Total Strikes19 of 35
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:30Control Time0:08
Winvs. Vagner RochaSubmission · R2 1:52Nov 7, 2014UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsVagner Rocha
1649Fighter Elo Going In1397
1516Classic Elo Going In1485
26 of 63Significant Strikes14 of 30
32 of 69Total Strikes17 of 33
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:56Control Time0:28
Winvs. Dashon JohnsonSubmission · R3 3:16Jun 28, 2014UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jake MatthewsDashon Johnson
1493Fighter Elo Going In1413
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
60 of 85Significant Strikes11 of 15
137 of 167Total Strikes24 of 28
4 of 11Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
10:27Control Time0:19