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Welterweight · Active

Matthew Semelsberger

UFC Record
5-6
Age
33
Height
6'1"
Reach
75"
Stance
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Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1401Today
1559Best, Jun 2021
1483Classic Elo
#289 Men: Pound for Pound#55 Welterweight
1400150016002021202220232024202520261422 going into Carlton Minus, Aug 20201515 going into Jason Witt, Mar 20211559 going into Khaos Williams, Jun 20211507 going into Martin Sano, Sep 20211531 going into AJ Fletcher, Mar 20221499 going into Alex Morono, Jul 20221464 going into Jake Matthews, Dec 20221541 going into Jeremiah Wells, Apr 20231535 going into Uros Medic, Jul 20231499 going into Preston Parsons, Jan 20241489 going into Charles Radtke, Nov 20241401 today1401
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1483Today
1549Best, Apr 2023
1401Fighter Elo
#342 Men: Pound for Pound#63 Welterweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502021202220232024202520261500 going into Carlton Minus, Aug 20201516 going into Jason Witt, Mar 20211531 going into Khaos Williams, Jun 20211515 going into Martin Sano, Sep 20211530 going into AJ Fletcher, Mar 20221545 going into Alex Morono, Jul 20221530 going into Jake Matthews, Dec 20221549 going into Jeremiah Wells, Apr 20231533 going into Uros Medic, Jul 20231516 going into Preston Parsons, Jan 20241499 going into Charles Radtke, Nov 20241483 today1483
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.77Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
43%Striking Accuracy
4.24Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
54%Striking Defense
1.26Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.01Takedowns per 15 Minutes
57%Takedown Accuracy
46%Takedown Defense
0.38Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
17%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins203
Losses204

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Charles RadtkeKO/TKO · R1 0:51Nov 9, 2024UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerCharles Radtke
1489Fighter Elo Going In1446
1499Classic Elo Going In1513
2 of 8Significant Strikes7 of 12
2 of 8Total Strikes7 of 12
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Preston ParsonsUnanimous DecisionJan 13, 2024UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerPreston Parsons
1499Fighter Elo Going In1549
1516Classic Elo Going In1488
28 of 69Significant Strikes47 of 87
33 of 77Total Strikes116 of 165
1 of 2Takedowns7 of 11
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts2
3:08Control Time6:26
Lossvs. Uros MedicKO/TKO · R3 2:36Jul 29, 2023UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerUros Medic
1535Fighter Elo Going In1461
1533Classic Elo Going In1516
52 of 120Significant Strikes69 of 128
53 of 121Total Strikes76 of 135
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:13Control Time0:22
Lossvs. Jeremiah WellsSplit DecisionApr 22, 2023UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerJeremiah Wells
1541Fighter Elo Going In1547
1549Classic Elo Going In1549
20 of 37Significant Strikes36 of 76
39 of 59Total Strikes86 of 158
0 of 1Takedowns6 of 10
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:29Control Time11:12
Winvs. Jake MatthewsUnanimous DecisionDec 17, 2022UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerJake Matthews
1464Fighter Elo Going In1624
1530Classic Elo Going In1582
45 of 116Significant Strikes32 of 89
54 of 129Total Strikes74 of 140
3 of 5Takedowns1 of 2
3Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
4:16Control Time1:42
Lossvs. Alex MoronoUnanimous DecisionJul 30, 2022UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerAlex Morono
1499Fighter Elo Going In1477
1545Classic Elo Going In1581
74 of 229Significant Strikes106 of 194
86 of 241Total Strikes119 of 209
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:38Control Time0:24
Winvs. AJ FletcherUnanimous DecisionMar 12, 2022UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerAJ Fletcher
1531Fighter Elo Going In1493
1530Classic Elo Going In1500
40 of 82Significant Strikes34 of 64
54 of 97Total Strikes87 of 124
1 of 1Takedowns4 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
4:55Control Time5:42
Winvs. Martin SanoKO/TKO · R1 0:15Sep 25, 2021UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerMartin Sano
1507Fighter Elo Going In1334
1515Classic Elo Going In1500
3 of 5Significant Strikes1 of 3
3 of 5Total Strikes1 of 3
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Khaos WilliamsUnanimous DecisionJun 19, 2021UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerKhaos Williams
1559Fighter Elo Going In1581
1531Classic Elo Going In1517
64 of 141Significant Strikes91 of 260
68 of 146Total Strikes114 of 286
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time1:53
Winvs. Jason WittKO/TKO · R1 0:16Mar 13, 2021UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerJason Witt
1515Fighter Elo Going In1401
1516Classic Elo Going In1500
3 of 5Significant Strikes4 of 4
3 of 5Total Strikes4 of 4
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Carlton MinusUnanimous DecisionAug 22, 2020UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matthew SemelsbergerCarlton Minus
1422Fighter Elo Going In1386
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
118 of 233Significant Strikes77 of 182
122 of 237Total Strikes89 of 197
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:46Control Time0:00