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Lightweight · Active

Joe Solecki

UFC Record
5-4
Age
33
Height
5'9"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1476Today
1739Best, Apr 2021
1516Classic Elo
1400150016001700180020202021202220232024202520261488 going into Matt Wiman, Dec 20191679 going into Austin Hubbard, Aug 20201739 going into Jim Miller, Apr 20211614 going into Jared Gordon, Oct 20211598 going into Alex Da Silva, Jun 20221576 going into Carl Deaton, Feb 20231607 going into Drakkar Klose, Dec 20231567 going into Grant Dawson, Jun 20241504 going into Nurullo Aliev, Jan 20251476 today1476
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1516Today
1561Best, Dec 2023
1476Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

15001550160020202021202220232024202520261500 going into Matt Wiman, Dec 20191518 going into Austin Hubbard, Aug 20201534 going into Jim Miller, Apr 20211550 going into Jared Gordon, Oct 20211534 going into Alex Da Silva, Jun 20221548 going into Carl Deaton, Feb 20231561 going into Drakkar Klose, Dec 20231546 going into Grant Dawson, Jun 20241532 going into Nurullo Aliev, Jan 20251516 today1516
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

1.92Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
53%Striking Accuracy
1.90Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
50%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.99Takedowns per 15 Minutes
47%Takedown Accuracy
14%Takedown Defense
1.28Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
44%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.7 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins023
Losses103

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Nurullo AlievUnanimous DecisionJan 11, 2025UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiNurullo Aliev
1504Fighter Elo Going In1533
1532Classic Elo Going In1516
28 of 68Significant Strikes35 of 88
52 of 98Total Strikes81 of 150
1 of 1Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:36Control Time8:13
Lossvs. Grant DawsonUnanimous DecisionJun 1, 2024UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiGrant Dawson
1567Fighter Elo Going In1640
1546Classic Elo Going In1600
12 of 19Significant Strikes46 of 70
27 of 35Total Strikes146 of 190
0 of 2Takedowns3 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time13:46
Lossvs. Drakkar KloseKO/TKO · R1 1:41Dec 2, 2023UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiDrakkar Klose
1607Fighter Elo Going In1483
1561Classic Elo Going In1575
1 of 1Significant Strikes2 of 2
9 of 13Total Strikes8 of 9
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:53Control Time0:40
Winvs. Carl DeatonSubmission · R2 4:55Feb 25, 2023UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiCarl Deaton
1576Fighter Elo Going In1351
1548Classic Elo Going In1500
2 of 8Significant Strikes1 of 12
49 of 67Total Strikes13 of 29
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
8:51Control Time0:00
Winvs. Alex Da SilvaMajority DecisionJun 4, 2022UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiAlex Da Silva
1598Fighter Elo Going In1490
1534Classic Elo Going In1485
33 of 82Significant Strikes35 of 76
91 of 144Total Strikes54 of 96
1 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
3Submission Attempts0
4:51Control Time5:55
Lossvs. Jared GordonSplit DecisionOct 2, 2021UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiJared Gordon
1614Fighter Elo Going In1523
1550Classic Elo Going In1533
38 of 69Significant Strikes51 of 86
70 of 102Total Strikes83 of 122
4 of 7Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
6:03Control Time4:07
Winvs. Jim MillerUnanimous DecisionApr 10, 2021UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiJim Miller
1739Fighter Elo Going In1421
1534Classic Elo Going In1553
19 of 42Significant Strikes11 of 34
93 of 146Total Strikes45 of 76
1 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
9:23Control Time2:03
Winvs. Austin HubbardSubmission · R1 3:51Aug 22, 2020UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiAustin Hubbard
1679Fighter Elo Going In1540
1518Classic Elo Going In1503
13 of 20Significant Strikes9 of 14
36 of 43Total Strikes9 of 14
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:37Control Time0:00
Winvs. Matt WimanUnanimous DecisionDec 7, 2019UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Joe SoleckiMatt Wiman
1488Fighter Elo Going In1249
1500Classic Elo Going In1550
56 of 70Significant Strikes10 of 22
177 of 217Total Strikes20 of 33
4 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
12:29Control Time0:06