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Lightweight · Active

MarQuel Mederos

UFC Record
4-0-1
Age
29
Height
5'10"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1476Today
1495Best, Jun 2025
1560Classic Elo
140014501500202520261475 going into Landon Quinones, Feb 20241432 going into Austin Hubbard, Mar 20251495 going into Mark Choinski, Jun 20251475 going into Chris Padilla, Apr 20261440 going into Mason Jones, Aug 20261476 today1476
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1560Today
1476Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600202520261500 going into Landon Quinones, Feb 20241515 going into Austin Hubbard, Mar 20251529 going into Mark Choinski, Jun 20251544 going into Chris Padilla, Apr 20261545 going into Mason Jones, Aug 20261560 today1560
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.95Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
60%Striking Accuracy
5.41Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
52%Striking Defense
0.45Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.22Takedowns per 15 Minutes
6%Takedown Accuracy
75%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
11%Share of Fight Time in Control
13.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins103
Losses000

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Mason JonesKO/TKO · R2 2:07Aug 22, 2026UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

MarQuel MederosMason Jones
1440Fighter Elo Going In1531
1545Classic Elo Going In1533
73 of 106Significant Strikes77 of 151
82 of 115Total Strikes84 of 158
0 of 4Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:54Control Time0:30
Drawvs. Chris PadillaMajority DecisionApr 11, 2026UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

MarQuel MederosChris Padilla
1475Fighter Elo Going In1574
1544Classic Elo Going In1559
112 of 180Significant Strikes147 of 271
117 of 186Total Strikes164 of 291
1 of 6Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:16Control Time2:09
Winvs. Mark ChoinskiUnanimous DecisionJun 7, 2025UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

MarQuel MederosMark Choinski
1495Fighter Elo Going In1374
1529Classic Elo Going In1500
110 of 165Significant Strikes58 of 114
115 of 170Total Strikes64 of 120
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 11
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:38Control Time4:39
Winvs. Austin HubbardSplit DecisionMar 29, 2025UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

MarQuel MederosAustin Hubbard
1432Fighter Elo Going In1411
1515Classic Elo Going In1474
44 of 68Significant Strikes26 of 65
57 of 81Total Strikes62 of 121
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:33Control Time7:34
Winvs. Landon QuinonesUnanimous DecisionFeb 3, 2024UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

MarQuel MederosLandon Quinones
1475Fighter Elo Going In1399
1500Classic Elo Going In1485
60 of 146Significant Strikes55 of 149
74 of 165Total Strikes78 of 176
0 of 5Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:13Control Time2:04