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Lightweight · Active

Chris Padilla

UFC Record
5-0-1
Age
31
Height
5'9"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1645Today
1575Classic Elo
13001400150016001700202520261318 going into James Llontop, Apr 20241406 going into Rongzhu, Sep 20241437 going into Jai Herbert, Mar 20251548 going into Ismael Bonfim, Nov 20251574 going into MarQuel Mederos, Apr 20261564 going into Nasrat Haqparast, Aug 20261645 today1645
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1575Today
1645Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600202520261500 going into James Llontop, Apr 20241516 going into Rongzhu, Sep 20241531 going into Jai Herbert, Mar 20251545 going into Ismael Bonfim, Nov 20251559 going into MarQuel Mederos, Apr 20261558 going into Nasrat Haqparast, Aug 20261575 today1575
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

6.67Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
54%Striking Accuracy
4.85Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
52%Striking Defense
0.22Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.10Takedowns per 15 Minutes
29%Takedown Accuracy
83%Takedown Defense
0.44Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
16%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins221
Losses000

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Nasrat HaqparastSubmission · R3 4:59Aug 22, 2026UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Chris PadillaNasrat Haqparast
1564Fighter Elo Going In1465
1558Classic Elo Going In1573
125 of 227Significant Strikes71 of 168
125 of 227Total Strikes73 of 170
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:45Control Time0:00
Drawvs. MarQuel MederosMajority DecisionApr 11, 2026UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Chris PadillaMarQuel Mederos
1574Fighter Elo Going In1475
1559Classic Elo Going In1544
147 of 271Significant Strikes112 of 180
164 of 291Total Strikes117 of 186
1 of 4Takedowns1 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:09Control Time0:16
Winvs. Ismael BonfimKO/TKO · R2 4:30Nov 8, 2025UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Chris PadillaIsmael Bonfim
1548Fighter Elo Going In1560
1545Classic Elo Going In1505
64 of 109Significant Strikes42 of 84
88 of 134Total Strikes47 of 89
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:21Control Time0:15
Winvs. Jai HerbertSplit DecisionMar 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Chris PadillaJai Herbert
1437Fighter Elo Going In1415
1531Classic Elo Going In1496
39 of 98Significant Strikes38 of 122
88 of 147Total Strikes59 of 143
0 of 6Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:41Control Time0:01
Winvs. RongzhuTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 4:14Sep 7, 2024UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Chris PadillaRongzhu
1406Fighter Elo Going In1449
1516Classic Elo Going In1484
68 of 105Significant Strikes49 of 88
73 of 110Total Strikes49 of 88
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:12
Winvs. James LlontopSubmission · R1 4:33Apr 27, 2024UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Chris PadillaJames Llontop
1318Fighter Elo Going In1488
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
12 of 26Significant Strikes19 of 40
14 of 29Total Strikes19 of 40
3 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:20Control Time0:00