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Welterweight · Last Fought Jul 2022

Donald Cerrone

UFC Record
23-14
Age
43
Height
6'1"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1402Going Into Their Last Fight, Jul 2022
1669Best, Dec 2016
1557Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

14001500160017002012201420162018202020221486 going into Paul Kelly, Feb 20111623 going into Vagner Rocha, Jun 20111651 going into Charles Oliveira, Aug 20111609 going into Dennis Siver, Oct 20111661 going into Nate Diaz, Dec 20111477 going into Jeremy Stephens, May 20121501 going into Melvin Guillard, Aug 20121522 going into Anthony Pettis, Jan 20131464 going into KJ Noons, May 20131521 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Aug 20131535 going into Evan Dunham, Nov 20131559 going into Adriano Martins, Jan 20141577 going into Edson Barboza, Apr 20141587 going into Jim Miller, Jul 20141610 going into Eddie Alvarez, Sep 20141633 going into Myles Jury, Jan 20151663 going into Benson Henderson, Jan 20151665 going into John Makdessi, May 20151648 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Dec 20151592 going into Alex Oliveira, Feb 20161600 going into Patrick Cote, Jun 20161642 going into Rick Story, Aug 20161669 going into Matt Brown, Dec 20161655 going into Jorge Masvidal, Jan 20171611 going into Robbie Lawler, Jul 20171604 going into Darren Till, Oct 20171576 going into Yancy Medeiros, Feb 20181594 going into Leon Edwards, Jun 20181579 going into Mike Perry, Nov 20181558 going into Alexander Hernandez, Jan 20191586 going into Al Iaquinta, May 20191602 going into Tony Ferguson, Jun 20191567 going into Justin Gaethje, Sep 20191538 going into Conor McGregor, Jan 20201514 going into Anthony Pettis, May 20201493 going into Alex Morono, May 20211402 going into Jim Miller, Jul 20221402
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1557After Their Last Fight, Jul 2022
1696Best, Jan 2017
1402Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500160017002012201420162018202020221500 going into Paul Kelly, Feb 20111517 going into Vagner Rocha, Jun 20111533 going into Charles Oliveira, Aug 20111548 going into Dennis Siver, Oct 20111565 going into Nate Diaz, Dec 20111548 going into Jeremy Stephens, May 20121563 going into Melvin Guillard, Aug 20121579 going into Anthony Pettis, Jan 20131561 going into KJ Noons, May 20131574 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Aug 20131558 going into Evan Dunham, Nov 20131574 going into Adriano Martins, Jan 20141587 going into Edson Barboza, Apr 20141603 going into Jim Miller, Jul 20141620 going into Eddie Alvarez, Sep 20141631 going into Myles Jury, Jan 20151645 going into Benson Henderson, Jan 20151659 going into John Makdessi, May 20151670 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Dec 20151652 going into Alex Oliveira, Feb 20161663 going into Patrick Cote, Jun 20161674 going into Rick Story, Aug 20161686 going into Matt Brown, Dec 20161696 going into Jorge Masvidal, Jan 20171674 going into Robbie Lawler, Jul 20171656 going into Darren Till, Oct 20171635 going into Yancy Medeiros, Feb 20181647 going into Leon Edwards, Jun 20181628 going into Mike Perry, Nov 20181640 going into Alexander Hernandez, Jan 20191651 going into Al Iaquinta, May 20191665 going into Tony Ferguson, Jun 20191650 going into Justin Gaethje, Sep 20191628 going into Conor McGregor, Jan 20201612 going into Anthony Pettis, May 20201592 going into Alex Morono, May 20211574 going into Jim Miller, Jul 20221557 after their last fight1557
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.90Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
47%Striking Accuracy
5.12Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
52%Striking Defense
0.84Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.01Takedowns per 15 Minutes
29%Takedown Accuracy
89%Takedown Defense
0.46Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
11%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins1067
Losses815

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Jim MillerSubmission · R2 1:32Jul 2, 2022UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneJim Miller
1402Fighter Elo Going In1440
1574Classic Elo Going In1564
21 of 33Significant Strikes24 of 36
24 of 36Total Strikes35 of 48
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:24Control Time1:03
Lossvs. Alex MoronoKO/TKO · R1 4:40May 8, 2021UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneAlex Morono
1493Fighter Elo Going In1474
1592Classic Elo Going In1535
17 of 35Significant Strikes35 of 84
18 of 36Total Strikes41 of 90
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:47
Lossvs. Anthony PettisUnanimous DecisionMay 9, 2020UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneAnthony Pettis
1514Fighter Elo Going In1478
1612Classic Elo Going In1535
62 of 148Significant Strikes63 of 113
62 of 148Total Strikes81 of 133
2 of 8Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:46Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Conor McGregorKO/TKO · R1 0:40Jan 18, 2020UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneConor McGregor
1538Fighter Elo Going In1577
1628Classic Elo Going In1613
0 of 1Significant Strikes19 of 26
0 of 1Total Strikes20 of 27
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:13
Lossvs. Justin GaethjeKO/TKO · R1 4:18Sep 14, 2019UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneJustin Gaethje
1567Fighter Elo Going In1526
1650Classic Elo Going In1534
17 of 52Significant Strikes40 of 61
17 of 52Total Strikes40 of 61
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:04
Lossvs. Tony FergusonTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 5:00Jun 8, 2019UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneTony Ferguson
1602Fighter Elo Going In1677
1665Classic Elo Going In1683
68 of 185Significant Strikes104 of 200
68 of 185Total Strikes104 of 200
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:07Control Time0:00
Winvs. Al IaquintaUnanimous DecisionMay 4, 2019UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneAl Iaquinta
1586Fighter Elo Going In1585
1651Classic Elo Going In1599
138 of 361Significant Strikes90 of 223
140 of 363Total Strikes90 of 223
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 5
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:22Control Time0:00
Winvs. Alexander HernandezKO/TKO · R2 3:43Jan 19, 2019UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneAlexander Hernandez
1558Fighter Elo Going In1725
1640Classic Elo Going In1538
80 of 162Significant Strikes49 of 105
81 of 163Total Strikes54 of 110
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:29Control Time0:22
Winvs. Mike PerrySubmission · R1 4:46Nov 10, 2018UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneMike Perry
1579Fighter Elo Going In1571
1628Classic Elo Going In1535
9 of 13Significant Strikes11 of 20
10 of 14Total Strikes11 of 20
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:40Control Time0:58
Lossvs. Leon EdwardsUnanimous DecisionJun 23, 2018UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneLeon Edwards
1594Fighter Elo Going In1659
1647Classic Elo Going In1579
60 of 131Significant Strikes84 of 166
64 of 136Total Strikes101 of 185
1 of 9Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:44Control Time0:48
Winvs. Yancy MedeirosKO/TKO · R1 4:58Feb 18, 2018UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneYancy Medeiros
1576Fighter Elo Going In1452
1635Classic Elo Going In1552
28 of 57Significant Strikes25 of 79
28 of 57Total Strikes26 of 80
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
3Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:21Control Time0:17
Lossvs. Darren TillKO/TKO · R1 4:20Oct 21, 2017UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneDarren Till
1604Fighter Elo Going In1619
1656Classic Elo Going In1547
14 of 24Significant Strikes24 of 55
14 of 24Total Strikes24 of 55
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:29Control Time0:05
Lossvs. Robbie LawlerUnanimous DecisionJul 29, 2017UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneRobbie Lawler
1611Fighter Elo Going In1528
1674Classic Elo Going In1613
82 of 166Significant Strikes77 of 156
99 of 185Total Strikes85 of 164
1 of 10Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:33Control Time0:21
Lossvs. Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO · R2 1:00Jan 28, 2017UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneJorge Masvidal
1655Fighter Elo Going In1659
1696Classic Elo Going In1561
30 of 65Significant Strikes58 of 102
30 of 65Total Strikes58 of 102
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:06
Winvs. Matt BrownKO/TKO · R3 0:34Dec 10, 2016UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneMatt Brown
1669Fighter Elo Going In1479
1686Classic Elo Going In1554
63 of 147Significant Strikes70 of 128
64 of 148Total Strikes73 of 131
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
2Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:35Control Time0:03
Winvs. Rick StoryKO/TKO · R2 2:02Aug 20, 2016UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneRick Story
1642Fighter Elo Going In1606
1674Classic Elo Going In1587
45 of 73Significant Strikes17 of 51
48 of 76Total Strikes19 of 54
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 5
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:42Control Time1:42
Winvs. Patrick CoteKO/TKO · R3 2:35Jun 18, 2016UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerronePatrick Cote
1600Fighter Elo Going In1433
1663Classic Elo Going In1544
73 of 119Significant Strikes46 of 93
92 of 140Total Strikes57 of 111
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
3Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:44Control Time0:00
Winvs. Alex OliveiraSubmission · R1 2:33Feb 21, 2016UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneAlex Oliveira
1592Fighter Elo Going In1556
1652Classic Elo Going In1534
4 of 6Significant Strikes14 of 24
7 of 10Total Strikes17 of 27
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:33Control Time0:51
Lossvs. Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO · R1 1:06Dec 19, 2015UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2

UFC Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
1648Fighter Elo Going In1701
1670Classic Elo Going In1632
4 of 7Significant Strikes26 of 44
4 of 7Total Strikes26 of 44
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:09
Winvs. John MakdessiKO/TKO · R2 4:44May 23, 2015UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneJohn Makdessi
1665Fighter Elo Going In1617
1659Classic Elo Going In1542
71 of 171Significant Strikes72 of 129
71 of 171Total Strikes72 of 129
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Benson HendersonUnanimous DecisionJan 18, 2015UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneBenson Henderson
1663Fighter Elo Going In1723
1645Classic Elo Going In1608
57 of 125Significant Strikes86 of 155
58 of 126Total Strikes93 of 162
1 of 7Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:32Control Time0:00
Winvs. Myles JuryUnanimous DecisionJan 3, 2015UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneMyles Jury
1633Fighter Elo Going In1703
1631Classic Elo Going In1593
37 of 83Significant Strikes15 of 53
54 of 105Total Strikes17 of 57
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 7
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
3:41Control Time2:01
Winvs. Eddie AlvarezUnanimous DecisionSep 27, 2014UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneEddie Alvarez
1610Fighter Elo Going In1443
1620Classic Elo Going In1500
88 of 166Significant Strikes48 of 138
101 of 182Total Strikes64 of 157
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 5
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:57Control Time0:38
Winvs. Jim MillerKO/TKO · R2 3:31Jul 16, 2014UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Donald CerroneJim Miller
1587Fighter Elo Going In1574
1603Classic Elo Going In1629
37 of 78Significant Strikes30 of 65
41 of 82Total Strikes34 of 69
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 6
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:21Control Time0:35
Winvs. Edson BarbozaSubmission · R1 3:15Apr 19, 2014UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneEdson Barboza
1577Fighter Elo Going In1602
1587Classic Elo Going In1587
11 of 20Significant Strikes28 of 54
11 of 20Total Strikes28 of 54
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
0:22Control Time0:00
Winvs. Adriano MartinsKO/TKO · R1 4:40Jan 25, 2014UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneAdriano Martins
1559Fighter Elo Going In1625
1574Classic Elo Going In1517
16 of 37Significant Strikes13 of 29
16 of 37Total Strikes13 of 29
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:00
Winvs. Evan DunhamSubmission · R2 3:49Nov 16, 2013UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneEvan Dunham
1535Fighter Elo Going In1615
1558Classic Elo Going In1547
32 of 67Significant Strikes24 of 72
34 of 69Total Strikes29 of 77
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 4
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:19Control Time1:30
Lossvs. Rafael Dos AnjosUnanimous DecisionAug 28, 2013UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
1521Fighter Elo Going In1637
1574Classic Elo Going In1574
40 of 80Significant Strikes39 of 109
43 of 83Total Strikes58 of 128
1 of 1Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:00Control Time3:50
Winvs. KJ NoonsUnanimous DecisionMay 25, 2013UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneKJ Noons
1464Fighter Elo Going In1442
1561Classic Elo Going In1500
78 of 152Significant Strikes42 of 122
130 of 213Total Strikes56 of 136
4 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:47Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Anthony PettisKO/TKO · R1 2:35Jan 26, 2013UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneAnthony Pettis
1522Fighter Elo Going In1659
1579Classic Elo Going In1524
4 of 12Significant Strikes18 of 28
4 of 12Total Strikes18 of 28
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:02
Winvs. Melvin GuillardKO/TKO · R1 1:16Aug 11, 2012UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneMelvin Guillard
1501Fighter Elo Going In1611
1563Classic Elo Going In1569
4 of 9Significant Strikes10 of 28
4 of 9Total Strikes10 of 28
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:04
Winvs. Jeremy StephensUnanimous DecisionMay 15, 2012UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneJeremy Stephens
1477Fighter Elo Going In1591
1548Classic Elo Going In1520
87 of 192Significant Strikes46 of 115
87 of 192Total Strikes50 of 119
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:30Control Time0:01
Lossvs. Nate DiazUnanimous DecisionDec 30, 2011UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneNate Diaz
1661Fighter Elo Going In1720
1565Classic Elo Going In1550
96 of 182Significant Strikes238 of 362
104 of 193Total Strikes260 of 391
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time1:04
Winvs. Dennis SiverSubmission · R1 2:22Oct 29, 2011UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneDennis Siver
1609Fighter Elo Going In1548
1548Classic Elo Going In1573
9 of 23Significant Strikes12 of 21
9 of 23Total Strikes14 of 23
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
2Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:10Control Time0:38
Winvs. Charles OliveiraKO/TKO · R1 3:01Aug 14, 2011UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneCharles Oliveira
1651Fighter Elo Going In1698
1533Classic Elo Going In1520
30 of 60Significant Strikes10 of 29
32 of 63Total Strikes10 of 29
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time0:00
Winvs. Vagner RochaUnanimous DecisionJun 11, 2011UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerroneVagner Rocha
1623Fighter Elo Going In1460
1517Classic Elo Going In1500
86 of 145Significant Strikes46 of 106
87 of 146Total Strikes47 of 108
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:40Control Time0:56
Winvs. Paul KellySubmission · R2 3:48Feb 5, 2011UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Donald CerronePaul Kelly
1486Fighter Elo Going In1498
1500Classic Elo Going In1530
37 of 74Significant Strikes22 of 75
62 of 101Total Strikes29 of 82
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts2
3:31Control Time0:00