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Welterweight · Last Fought Jul 2023

Robbie Lawler

UFC Record
15-10
Age
44
Height
5'11"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1326Going Into Their Last Fight, Jul 2023
1664Best, Apr 2003
1577Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1300140015001600170020032006200920122015201820211495 · Before facing Aaron Riley, May 20021596 · Before facing Steve Berger, Jun 20021657 · Before facing Tiki Ghosn, Nov 20021664 · Before facing Pete Spratt, Apr 20031634 · Before facing Chris Lytle, Nov 20031630 · Before facing Nick Diaz, Apr 20041604 · Before facing Evan Tanner, Oct 20041461 · Before facing Josh Koscheck, Feb 20131506 · Before facing Bobby Voelker, Jul 20131557 · Before facing Rory MacDonald, Nov 20131577 · Before facing Johny Hendricks, Mar 20141560 · Before facing Jake Ellenberger, May 20141623 · Before facing Matt Brown, Jul 20141623 · Before facing Johny Hendricks, Dec 20141601 · Before facing Rory MacDonald, Jul 20151620 · Before facing Carlos Condit, Jan 20161582 · Before facing Tyron Woodley, Jul 20161528 · Before facing Donald Cerrone, Jul 20171516 · Before facing Rafael Dos Anjos, Dec 20171425 · Before facing Ben Askren, Mar 20191429 · Before facing Colby Covington, Aug 20191411 · Before facing Neil Magny, Aug 20201397 · Before facing Nick Diaz, Sep 20211407 · Before facing Bryan Barberena, Jul 20221326 · Before facing Niko Price, Jul 20231326
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight. Point at the graph, or touch it, to read a rating.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500.

The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

As well as results, it counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo
1577After Their Last Fight, Jul 2023
1632Best, Jul 2016
1326Fighter Elo
150015501600165020032006200920122015201820211500 · Before facing Aaron Riley, May 20021516 · Before facing Steve Berger, Jun 20021531 · Before facing Tiki Ghosn, Nov 20021544 · Before facing Pete Spratt, Apr 20031526 · Before facing Chris Lytle, Nov 20031540 · Before facing Nick Diaz, Apr 20041523 · Before facing Evan Tanner, Oct 20041509 · Before facing Josh Koscheck, Feb 20131530 · Before facing Bobby Voelker, Jul 20131544 · Before facing Rory MacDonald, Nov 20131562 · Before facing Johny Hendricks, Mar 20141549 · Before facing Jake Ellenberger, May 20141566 · Before facing Matt Brown, Jul 20141584 · Before facing Johny Hendricks, Dec 20141602 · Before facing Rory MacDonald, Jul 20151619 · Before facing Carlos Condit, Jan 20161632 · Before facing Tyron Woodley, Jul 20161613 · Before facing Donald Cerrone, Jul 20171632 · Before facing Rafael Dos Anjos, Dec 20171616 · Before facing Ben Askren, Mar 20191595 · Before facing Colby Covington, Aug 20191581 · Before facing Neil Magny, Aug 20201567 · Before facing Nick Diaz, Sep 20211581 · Before facing Bryan Barberena, Jul 20221563 · Before facing Niko Price, Jul 20231577 · After their last fight, Jul 20231577
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one. Point at the graph, or touch it, to read a rating.

How Classic Elo Works

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Every fighter starts at 1500.

The winner takes points from the loser. Beating a higher-rated fighter earns more than beating a lower-rated one, and losing to one costs less. A draw moves the two a little closer together.

It ignores how the fight went, age and time away, so it reads more like normal rankings. It is one of the things Fighter Elo is built from.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.19Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
48%Striking Accuracy
5.18Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
58%Striking Defense
0.47Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.80Takedowns per 15 Minutes
74%Takedown Accuracy
65%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
10%Share of Fight Time in Control
12.7 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins807
Losses334

Fighters Like This One

By style, not by ranking: how they fight, measured across their UFC fights.

Striker. Does most of their work standing.

StrikerGrappler
Fights Most Like
  1. Kennedy NzechukwuHeavyweight · 8-7-11448
  2. Marc-Andre BarriaultMiddleweight · 6-101275
  3. Jared CannonierMiddleweight · 11-101434
  4. Lyman GoodWelterweight · 3-3
  5. Edmen ShahbazyanMiddleweight · 10-61622
Where They Stand
Striking Volume
76
Striking Defense
71
Knockdown Power
71
Takedowns
35
Takedown Defense
53
Submission Threat
13
Control
24

Percentile among men with 4 or more UFC fights. 50 is typical.

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Niko PriceKO/TKO · R1 0:38Jul 8, 2023UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerNiko Price
1326Fighter Elo Going In1419
1563Classic Elo Going In1519
8 of 10Significant Strikes2 of 7
8 of 10Total Strikes2 of 7
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO · R2 4:47Jul 2, 2022UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerBryan Barberena
1407Fighter Elo Going In1445
1581Classic Elo Going In1537
81 of 141Significant Strikes147 of 316
81 of 141Total Strikes148 of 317
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Nick DiazKO/TKO · R3 0:44Sep 25, 2021UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerNick Diaz
1397Fighter Elo Going In1400
1567Classic Elo Going In1523
131 of 221Significant Strikes150 of 339
131 of 221Total Strikes150 of 339
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Neil MagnyUnanimous DecisionAug 29, 2020UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerNeil Magny
1411Fighter Elo Going In1638
1581Classic Elo Going In1634
26 of 45Significant Strikes62 of 88
41 of 62Total Strikes116 of 144
0 of 1Takedowns4 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:33Control Time8:14
Lossvs. Colby CovingtonUnanimous DecisionAug 3, 2019UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerColby Covington
1429Fighter Elo Going In1710
1595Classic Elo Going In1631
78 of 167Significant Strikes179 of 515
82 of 171Total Strikes201 of 541
0 of 0Takedowns10 of 18
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time8:42
Lossvs. Ben AskrenSubmission · R1 3:20Mar 2, 2019UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerBen Askren
1425Fighter Elo Going In1449
1616Classic Elo Going In1500
26 of 29Significant Strikes0 of 1
30 of 33Total Strikes3 of 5
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:33Control Time1:59
Lossvs. Rafael Dos AnjosUnanimous DecisionDec 16, 2017UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerRafael Dos Anjos
1516Fighter Elo Going In1590
1632Classic Elo Going In1640
86 of 212Significant Strikes172 of 291
137 of 267Total Strikes219 of 343
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:24Control Time7:53
Winvs. Donald CerroneUnanimous DecisionJul 29, 2017UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerDonald Cerrone
1528Fighter Elo Going In1611
1613Classic Elo Going In1674
77 of 156Significant Strikes82 of 166
85 of 164Total Strikes99 of 185
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 10
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:21Control Time1:33
Lossvs. Tyron WoodleyKO/TKO · R1 2:12Jul 30, 2016UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerTyron Woodley
1582Fighter Elo Going In1584
1632Classic Elo Going In1560
3 of 6Significant Strikes8 of 11
4 of 7Total Strikes8 of 11
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:19
Winvs. Carlos ConditSplit DecisionJan 2, 2016UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerCarlos Condit
1620Fighter Elo Going In1608
1619Classic Elo Going In1566
92 of 177Significant Strikes176 of 495
93 of 178Total Strikes177 of 497
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:41Control Time0:10
Winvs. Rory MacDonaldKO/TKO · R5 1:00Jul 11, 2015UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerRory MacDonald
1601Fighter Elo Going In1772
1602Classic Elo Going In1610
70 of 156Significant Strikes86 of 222
76 of 163Total Strikes87 of 223
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:11Control Time0:02
Winvs. Johny HendricksSplit DecisionDec 6, 2014UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerJohny Hendricks
1623Fighter Elo Going In1724
1584Classic Elo Going In1642
116 of 201Significant Strikes111 of 228
167 of 253Total Strikes145 of 264
0 of 0Takedowns5 of 17
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:02Control Time10:21
Winvs. Matt BrownUnanimous DecisionJul 26, 2014UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerMatt Brown
1623Fighter Elo Going In1652
1566Classic Elo Going In1603
80 of 200Significant Strikes82 of 242
87 of 207Total Strikes89 of 250
2 of 2Takedowns2 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:57Control Time1:10
Winvs. Jake EllenbergerKO/TKO · R3 3:06May 24, 2014UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerJake Ellenberger
1560Fighter Elo Going In1655
1549Classic Elo Going In1577
68 of 155Significant Strikes29 of 89
72 of 159Total Strikes30 of 90
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:11Control Time0:46
Lossvs. Johny HendricksUnanimous DecisionMar 15, 2014UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Robbie LawlerJohny Hendricks
1577Fighter Elo Going In1751
1562Classic Elo Going In1629
150 of 331Significant Strikes158 of 397
162 of 343Total Strikes186 of 426
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 10
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time4:09
Winvs. Rory MacDonaldSplit DecisionNov 16, 2013UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerRory MacDonald
1557Fighter Elo Going In1826
1544Classic Elo Going In1585
44 of 102Significant Strikes37 of 107
65 of 126Total Strikes41 of 111
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 6
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
2:22Control Time3:05
Winvs. Bobby VoelkerKO/TKO · R2 0:24Jul 27, 2013UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerBobby Voelker
1506Fighter Elo Going In1412
1530Classic Elo Going In1483
28 of 46Significant Strikes10 of 42
32 of 51Total Strikes11 of 44
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:13Control Time0:00
Winvs. Josh KoscheckKO/TKO · R1 3:57Feb 23, 2013UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerJosh Koscheck
1461Fighter Elo Going In1582
1509Classic Elo Going In1613
9 of 15Significant Strikes2 of 4
16 of 22Total Strikes5 of 7
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time3:14
Lossvs. Evan TannerSubmission · R1 2:22Oct 22, 2004UFC 50: The War Of '04

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerEvan Tanner
1604Fighter Elo Going In1628
1523Classic Elo Going In1581
3 of 14Significant Strikes6 of 17
4 of 15Total Strikes6 of 17
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:34Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Nick DiazKO/TKO · R2 1:31Apr 2, 2004UFC 47: It's On!

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerNick Diaz
1630Fighter Elo Going In1671
1540Classic Elo Going In1516
16 of 64Significant Strikes22 of 75
18 of 66Total Strikes29 of 83
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:48
Winvs. Chris LytleUnanimous DecisionNov 21, 2003UFC 45: Revolution

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerChris Lytle
1634Fighter Elo Going In1347
1526Classic Elo Going In1484
30 of 72Significant Strikes37 of 97
51 of 93Total Strikes64 of 125
3 of 4Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
4:52Control Time0:24
Lossvs. Pete SprattSubmission · R2 2:28Apr 25, 2003UFC 42: Sudden Impact

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerPete Spratt
1664Fighter Elo Going In1393
1544Classic Elo Going In1499
15 of 25Significant Strikes19 of 27
24 of 34Total Strikes25 of 33
2 of 2Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:16Control Time1:40
Winvs. Tiki GhosnKO/TKO · R1 1:29Nov 22, 2002UFC 40: Vendetta

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerTiki Ghosn
1657Fighter Elo Going In1358
1531Classic Elo Going In1469
5 of 11Significant Strikes7 of 14
5 of 11Total Strikes7 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Steve BergerKO/TKO · R2 0:27Jun 22, 2002UFC 37.5: As Real As It Gets

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerSteve Berger
1596Fighter Elo Going In1350
1516Classic Elo Going In1484
28 of 51Significant Strikes11 of 37
39 of 62Total Strikes28 of 54
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:02Control Time0:26
Winvs. Aaron RileyUnanimous DecisionMay 10, 2002UFC 37: High Impact

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Robbie LawlerAaron Riley
1495Fighter Elo Going In1463
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
64 of 153Significant Strikes55 of 130
87 of 176Total Strikes93 of 170
6 of 8Takedowns0 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
4:27Control Time1:26