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Welterweight · Active

Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC Record
21-15
Age
41
Height
5'8"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Next Fight · Saturday, October 3vs. Alexander HernandezUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang40%Win ChanceFull Forecast

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1442Today
1712Best, Jul 2016
1572Classic Elo
#239 Men: Pound for Pound#47 Welterweight
140015001600170018002009201220152018202120241513 going into Jeremy Stephens, Nov 20081551 going into Tyson Griffin, Apr 20091561 going into Rob Emerson, Sep 20091550 going into Kyle Bradley, Jan 20101585 going into Terry Etim, Apr 20101613 going into Clay Guida, Aug 20101599 going into George Sotiropoulos, Jul 20111617 going into Gleison Tibau, Nov 20111591 going into Kamal Shalorus, May 20121591 going into Anthony Njokuani, Jul 20121629 going into Mark Bocek, Nov 20121650 going into Evan Dunham, May 20131637 going into Donald Cerrone, Aug 20131645 going into Khabib Nurmagomedov, Apr 20141616 going into Jason High, Jun 20141645 going into Benson Henderson, Aug 20141670 going into Nate Diaz, Dec 20141683 going into Anthony Pettis, Mar 20151701 going into Donald Cerrone, Dec 20151712 going into Eddie Alvarez, Jul 20161636 going into Tony Ferguson, Nov 20161587 going into Tarec Saffiedine, Jun 20171582 going into Neil Magny, Sep 20171590 going into Robbie Lawler, Dec 20171607 going into Colby Covington, Jun 20181640 going into Kamaru Usman, Nov 20181622 going into Kevin Lee, May 20191648 going into Leon Edwards, Jul 20191636 going into Michael Chiesa, Jan 20201607 going into Paul Felder, Nov 20201545 going into Renato Moicano, Mar 20221606 going into Rafael Fiziev, Jul 20221556 going into Bryan Barberena, Dec 20221574 going into Vicente Luque, Aug 20231533 going into Mateusz Gamrot, Mar 20241518 going into Geoff Neal, Oct 20241442 today1442
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1572Today
1655Best, Jun 2018
1442Fighter Elo
#116 Men: Pound for Pound#24 Welterweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14001500160017002009201220152018202120241500 going into Jeremy Stephens, Nov 20081484 going into Tyson Griffin, Apr 20091471 going into Rob Emerson, Sep 20091489 going into Kyle Bradley, Jan 20101505 going into Terry Etim, Apr 20101523 going into Clay Guida, Aug 20101507 going into George Sotiropoulos, Jul 20111527 going into Gleison Tibau, Nov 20111512 going into Kamal Shalorus, May 20121526 going into Anthony Njokuani, Jul 20121541 going into Mark Bocek, Nov 20121558 going into Evan Dunham, May 20131574 going into Donald Cerrone, Aug 20131590 going into Khabib Nurmagomedov, Apr 20141573 going into Jason High, Jun 20141586 going into Benson Henderson, Aug 20141604 going into Nate Diaz, Dec 20141618 going into Anthony Pettis, Mar 20151632 going into Donald Cerrone, Dec 20151650 going into Eddie Alvarez, Jul 20161629 going into Tony Ferguson, Nov 20161613 going into Tarec Saffiedine, Jun 20171624 going into Neil Magny, Sep 20171640 going into Robbie Lawler, Dec 20171655 going into Colby Covington, Jun 20181637 going into Kamaru Usman, Nov 20181621 going into Kevin Lee, May 20191636 going into Leon Edwards, Jul 20191618 going into Michael Chiesa, Jan 20201601 going into Paul Felder, Nov 20201615 going into Renato Moicano, Mar 20221629 going into Rafael Fiziev, Jul 20221610 going into Bryan Barberena, Dec 20221624 going into Vicente Luque, Aug 20231607 going into Mateusz Gamrot, Mar 20241590 going into Geoff Neal, Oct 20241572 today1572
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.48Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
47%Striking Accuracy
3.23Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
60%Striking Defense
0.20Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.95Takedowns per 15 Minutes
36%Takedown Accuracy
55%Takedown Defense
0.57Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
26%Share of Fight Time in Control
14.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins4512
Losses4110

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Geoff NealKO/TKO · R1 1:30Oct 26, 2024UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosGeoff Neal
1518Fighter Elo Going In1554
1590Classic Elo Going In1555
4 of 13Significant Strikes18 of 30
4 of 13Total Strikes21 of 34
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:27
Lossvs. Mateusz GamrotUnanimous DecisionMar 9, 2024UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosMateusz Gamrot
1533Fighter Elo Going In1707
1607Classic Elo Going In1577
36 of 78Significant Strikes57 of 102
39 of 82Total Strikes111 of 163
0 of 0Takedowns11 of 19
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:11Control Time7:01
Lossvs. Vicente LuqueUnanimous DecisionAug 12, 2023UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosVicente Luque
1574Fighter Elo Going In1500
1624Classic Elo Going In1617
66 of 136Significant Strikes72 of 141
94 of 170Total Strikes138 of 221
2 of 7Takedowns8 of 11
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
3:54Control Time12:01
Winvs. Bryan BarberenaSubmission · R2 3:20Dec 3, 2022UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosBryan Barberena
1556Fighter Elo Going In1455
1610Classic Elo Going In1555
20 of 25Significant Strikes14 of 29
36 of 41Total Strikes61 of 79
4 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
6:36Control Time0:35
Lossvs. Rafael FizievKO/TKO · R5 0:18Jul 9, 2022UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosRafael Fiziev
1606Fighter Elo Going In1542
1629Classic Elo Going In1568
54 of 110Significant Strikes64 of 159
90 of 162Total Strikes92 of 192
2 of 16Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
6:13Control Time2:59
Winvs. Renato MoicanoUnanimous DecisionMar 5, 2022UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosRenato Moicano
1545Fighter Elo Going In1566
1615Classic Elo Going In1562
149 of 286Significant Strikes88 of 172
179 of 318Total Strikes99 of 185
5 of 15Takedowns0 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
13:22Control Time0:30
Winvs. Paul FelderSplit DecisionNov 14, 2020UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosPaul Felder
1607Fighter Elo Going In1465
1601Classic Elo Going In1570
92 of 162Significant Strikes98 of 190
155 of 231Total Strikes134 of 226
6 of 22Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
14:15Control Time1:40
Lossvs. Michael ChiesaUnanimous DecisionJan 25, 2020UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosMichael Chiesa
1636Fighter Elo Going In1594
1618Classic Elo Going In1579
14 of 36Significant Strikes9 of 51
23 of 52Total Strikes54 of 107
0 of 1Takedowns6 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:42Control Time10:13
Lossvs. Leon EdwardsUnanimous DecisionJul 20, 2019UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosLeon Edwards
1648Fighter Elo Going In1663
1636Classic Elo Going In1613
81 of 169Significant Strikes92 of 215
129 of 219Total Strikes113 of 244
0 of 5Takedowns3 of 10
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:23Control Time7:17
Winvs. Kevin LeeSubmission · R4 3:47May 18, 2019UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosKevin Lee
1622Fighter Elo Going In1738
1621Classic Elo Going In1594
60 of 111Significant Strikes35 of 97
75 of 126Total Strikes40 of 102
4 of 7Takedowns6 of 16
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
3:53Control Time8:41
Lossvs. Kamaru UsmanUnanimous DecisionNov 30, 2018The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosKamaru Usman
1640Fighter Elo Going In1792
1637Classic Elo Going In1625
62 of 112Significant Strikes130 of 223
84 of 138Total Strikes227 of 334
0 of 1Takedowns12 of 18
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
0:21Control Time18:24
Lossvs. Colby CovingtonUnanimous DecisionJun 9, 2018UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

UFC Interim Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosColby Covington
1607Fighter Elo Going In1774
1655Classic Elo Going In1613
105 of 198Significant Strikes99 of 296
130 of 223Total Strikes142 of 346
3 of 6Takedowns7 of 18
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:14Control Time12:36
Winvs. Robbie LawlerUnanimous DecisionDec 16, 2017UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosRobbie Lawler
1590Fighter Elo Going In1516
1640Classic Elo Going In1632
172 of 291Significant Strikes86 of 212
219 of 343Total Strikes137 of 267
2 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:53Control Time4:24
Winvs. Neil MagnySubmission · R1 3:43Sep 9, 2017UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosNeil Magny
1582Fighter Elo Going In1699
1624Classic Elo Going In1613
13 of 16Significant Strikes1 of 5
17 of 21Total Strikes5 of 9
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
3:19Control Time0:00
Winvs. Tarec SaffiedineUnanimous DecisionJun 17, 2017UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosTarec Saffiedine
1587Fighter Elo Going In1545
1613Classic Elo Going In1498
81 of 158Significant Strikes60 of 139
91 of 169Total Strikes71 of 151
1 of 5Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
3:32Control Time3:40
Lossvs. Tony FergusonUnanimous DecisionNov 5, 2016UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosTony Ferguson
1636Fighter Elo Going In1719
1629Classic Elo Going In1642
121 of 276Significant Strikes199 of 401
126 of 281Total Strikes200 of 402
0 of 5Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:30Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Eddie AlvarezKO/TKO · R1 3:49Jul 7, 2016UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez

UFC Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosEddie Alvarez
1712Fighter Elo Going In1513
1650Classic Elo Going In1524
12 of 41Significant Strikes45 of 78
12 of 41Total Strikes49 of 83
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:22Control Time0:20
Winvs. Donald CerroneKO/TKO · R1 1:06Dec 19, 2015UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2

UFC Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosDonald Cerrone
1701Fighter Elo Going In1648
1632Classic Elo Going In1670
26 of 44Significant Strikes4 of 7
26 of 44Total Strikes4 of 7
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:09Control Time0:00
Winvs. Anthony PettisUnanimous DecisionMar 14, 2015UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos

UFC Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosAnthony Pettis
1683Fighter Elo Going In1696
1618Classic Elo Going In1576
90 of 171Significant Strikes54 of 162
144 of 233Total Strikes96 of 205
9 of 10Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
14:44Control Time0:51
Winvs. Nate DiazUnanimous DecisionDec 13, 2014UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosNate Diaz
1670Fighter Elo Going In1598
1604Classic Elo Going In1569
77 of 119Significant Strikes13 of 104
129 of 175Total Strikes51 of 145
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:47Control Time0:00
Winvs. Benson HendersonKO/TKO · R1 2:31Aug 23, 2014UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosBenson Henderson
1645Fighter Elo Going In1775
1586Classic Elo Going In1626
18 of 30Significant Strikes10 of 27
18 of 30Total Strikes10 of 27
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:02
Winvs. Jason HighKO/TKO · R2 3:36Jun 7, 2014UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosJason High
1616Fighter Elo Going In1427
1573Classic Elo Going In1503
36 of 68Significant Strikes24 of 64
53 of 85Total Strikes26 of 67
2 of 2Takedowns3 of 3
1Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
1:52Control Time2:53
Lossvs. Khabib NurmagomedovUnanimous DecisionApr 19, 2014UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosKhabib Nurmagomedov
1645Fighter Elo Going In1799
1590Classic Elo Going In1577
20 of 56Significant Strikes36 of 97
40 of 76Total Strikes72 of 135
0 of 1Takedowns6 of 12
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time9:47
Winvs. Donald CerroneUnanimous DecisionAug 28, 2013UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosDonald Cerrone
1637Fighter Elo Going In1521
1574Classic Elo Going In1574
39 of 109Significant Strikes40 of 80
58 of 128Total Strikes43 of 83
2 of 6Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:50Control Time1:00
Winvs. Evan DunhamUnanimous DecisionMay 18, 2013UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosEvan Dunham
1650Fighter Elo Going In1619
1558Classic Elo Going In1563
66 of 183Significant Strikes68 of 270
86 of 204Total Strikes90 of 295
0 of 2Takedowns3 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:42Control Time2:40
Winvs. Mark BocekUnanimous DecisionNov 17, 2012UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosMark Bocek
1629Fighter Elo Going In1594
1541Classic Elo Going In1548
54 of 134Significant Strikes19 of 59
90 of 172Total Strikes33 of 73
4 of 5Takedowns0 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
4:08Control Time3:42
Winvs. Anthony NjokuaniUnanimous DecisionJul 11, 2012UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosAnthony Njokuani
1591Fighter Elo Going In1611
1526Classic Elo Going In1503
51 of 85Significant Strikes32 of 87
68 of 108Total Strikes37 of 92
6 of 17Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
6:42Control Time0:00
Winvs. Kamal ShalorusSubmission · R1 1:40May 15, 2012UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosKamal Shalorus
1591Fighter Elo Going In1346
1512Classic Elo Going In1473
5 of 10Significant Strikes2 of 12
11 of 17Total Strikes2 of 12
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:35Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Gleison TibauSplit DecisionNov 19, 2011UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosGleison Tibau
1617Fighter Elo Going In1716
1527Classic Elo Going In1561
25 of 96Significant Strikes56 of 128
39 of 110Total Strikes64 of 136
0 of 8Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:01Control Time1:44
Winvs. George SotiropoulosKO/TKO · R1 0:59Jul 2, 2011UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosGeorge Sotiropoulos
1599Fighter Elo Going In1567
1507Classic Elo Going In1587
2 of 10Significant Strikes2 of 24
2 of 10Total Strikes2 of 24
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Clay GuidaSubmission · R3 1:51Aug 7, 2010UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosClay Guida
1613Fighter Elo Going In1590
1523Classic Elo Going In1529
17 of 64Significant Strikes19 of 90
29 of 76Total Strikes47 of 123
1 of 4Takedowns2 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:51Control Time4:33
Winvs. Terry EtimSubmission · R2 4:30Apr 10, 2010UFC 112: Invincible

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosTerry Etim
1585Fighter Elo Going In1617
1505Classic Elo Going In1548
25 of 45Significant Strikes7 of 20
45 of 69Total Strikes11 of 25
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
5:37Control Time1:29
Winvs. Kyle BradleyUnanimous DecisionJan 11, 2010UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosKyle Bradley
1550Fighter Elo Going In1392
1489Classic Elo Going In1485
42 of 112Significant Strikes21 of 53
99 of 183Total Strikes31 of 64
5 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
8:16Control Time0:24
Winvs. Rob EmersonUnanimous DecisionSep 19, 2009UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosRob Emerson
1561Fighter Elo Going In1496
1471Classic Elo Going In1514
52 of 165Significant Strikes27 of 172
85 of 201Total Strikes34 of 181
2 of 12Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:18Control Time0:20
Lossvs. Tyson GriffinUnanimous DecisionApr 1, 2009UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosTyson Griffin
1551Fighter Elo Going In1633
1484Classic Elo Going In1546
26 of 134Significant Strikes69 of 213
29 of 137Total Strikes101 of 245
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time2:51
Lossvs. Jeremy StephensKO/TKO · R3 0:39Nov 15, 2008UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael Dos AnjosJeremy Stephens
1513Fighter Elo Going In1520
1500Classic Elo Going In1502
9 of 18Significant Strikes22 of 46
37 of 48Total Strikes33 of 60
4 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
2Submission Attempts0
5:09Control Time2:23