Phins
Create Account
All Fighters
Lightweight · Active

Clay Guida

UFC Record
18-19
Age
44
Height
5'7"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1261Today
1654Best, Jan 2009
1490Classic Elo
#392 Men: Pound for Pound#83 Lightweight
120014001600180020072010201320162019202220251375 going into Justin James, Oct 20061494 going into Din Thomas, Jan 20071546 going into Tyson Griffin, Jun 20071539 going into Marcus Aurelio, Aug 20071578 going into Roger Huerta, Dec 20071635 going into Samy Schiavo, Apr 20081630 going into Mac Danzig, Sep 20081654 going into Nate Diaz, Jan 20091640 going into Diego Sanchez, Jun 20091598 going into Kenny Florian, Dec 20091577 going into Shannon Gugerty, Mar 20101590 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Aug 20101588 going into Takanori Gomi, Jan 20111601 going into Anthony Pettis, Jun 20111602 going into Benson Henderson, Nov 20111595 going into Gray Maynard, Jun 20121612 going into Hatsu Hioki, Jan 20131591 going into Chad Mendes, Aug 20131544 going into Tatsuya Kawajiri, Apr 20141539 going into Dennis Bermudez, Jul 20141532 going into Robert Peralta, Apr 20151525 going into Thiago Tavares, Nov 20151511 going into Brian Ortega, Jun 20161442 going into Erik Koch, Jun 20171479 going into Joe Lauzon, Nov 20171491 going into Charles Oliveira, Jun 20181450 going into BJ Penn, May 20191429 going into Jim Miller, Aug 20191430 going into King Green, Jun 20201356 going into Michael Johnson, Feb 20211352 going into Mark Madsen, Aug 20211327 going into Leonardo Santos, Dec 20211309 going into Claudio Puelles, Apr 20221323 going into Scott Holtzman, Dec 20221337 going into Rafa Garcia, Apr 20231302 going into Joaquim Silva, Dec 20231237 going into Chase Hooper, Dec 20241261 today1261
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1490Today
1573Best, Nov 2011
1261Fighter Elo
#324 Men: Pound for Pound#69 Lightweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550160020072010201320162019202220251500 going into Justin James, Oct 20061516 going into Din Thomas, Jan 20071500 going into Tyson Griffin, Jun 20071484 going into Marcus Aurelio, Aug 20071501 going into Roger Huerta, Dec 20071488 going into Samy Schiavo, Apr 20081505 going into Mac Danzig, Sep 20081522 going into Nate Diaz, Jan 20091540 going into Diego Sanchez, Jun 20091527 going into Kenny Florian, Dec 20091514 going into Shannon Gugerty, Mar 20101529 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Aug 20101545 going into Takanori Gomi, Jan 20111559 going into Anthony Pettis, Jun 20111573 going into Benson Henderson, Nov 20111555 going into Gray Maynard, Jun 20121541 going into Hatsu Hioki, Jan 20131556 going into Chad Mendes, Aug 20131540 going into Tatsuya Kawajiri, Apr 20141555 going into Dennis Bermudez, Jul 20141540 going into Robert Peralta, Apr 20151556 going into Thiago Tavares, Nov 20151539 going into Brian Ortega, Jun 20161523 going into Erik Koch, Jun 20171539 going into Joe Lauzon, Nov 20171555 going into Charles Oliveira, Jun 20181538 going into BJ Penn, May 20191553 going into Jim Miller, Aug 20191537 going into King Green, Jun 20201519 going into Michael Johnson, Feb 20211534 going into Mark Madsen, Aug 20211518 going into Leonardo Santos, Dec 20211537 going into Claudio Puelles, Apr 20221522 going into Scott Holtzman, Dec 20221538 going into Rafa Garcia, Apr 20231520 going into Joaquim Silva, Dec 20231504 going into Chase Hooper, Dec 20241490 today1490
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.73Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
33%Striking Accuracy
3.17Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
61%Striking Defense
0.21Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.76Takedowns per 15 Minutes
34%Takedown Accuracy
69%Takedown Defense
0.57Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
37%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins2511
Losses289

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Chase HooperSubmission · R1 3:41Dec 7, 2024UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaChase Hooper
1237Fighter Elo Going In1582
1504Classic Elo Going In1542
5 of 13Significant Strikes7 of 15
6 of 15Total Strikes14 of 28
0 of 1Takedowns3 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time2:08
Lossvs. Joaquim SilvaUnanimous DecisionDec 2, 2023UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaJoaquim Silva
1302Fighter Elo Going In1283
1520Classic Elo Going In1510
43 of 134Significant Strikes46 of 91
63 of 155Total Strikes85 of 141
2 of 11Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
4:23Control Time2:35
Lossvs. Rafa GarciaUnanimous DecisionApr 15, 2023UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaRafa Garcia
1337Fighter Elo Going In1590
1538Classic Elo Going In1505
63 of 252Significant Strikes141 of 287
63 of 252Total Strikes143 of 289
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:20
Winvs. Scott HoltzmanSplit DecisionDec 3, 2022UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaScott Holtzman
1323Fighter Elo Going In1347
1522Classic Elo Going In1530
66 of 183Significant Strikes65 of 166
95 of 215Total Strikes77 of 178
4 of 15Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:35Control Time0:18
Lossvs. Claudio PuellesSubmission · R1 3:01Apr 23, 2022UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaClaudio Puelles
1309Fighter Elo Going In1552
1537Classic Elo Going In1547
3 of 4Significant Strikes1 of 3
4 of 6Total Strikes11 of 13
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
1:10Control Time0:14
Winvs. Leonardo SantosSubmission · R2 1:21Dec 4, 2021UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaLeonardo Santos
1327Fighter Elo Going In1429
1518Classic Elo Going In1586
18 of 50Significant Strikes41 of 60
50 of 87Total Strikes65 of 92
2 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
2:09Control Time1:01
Lossvs. Mark MadsenSplit DecisionAug 21, 2021UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaMark Madsen
1352Fighter Elo Going In1498
1534Classic Elo Going In1531
72 of 212Significant Strikes98 of 192
72 of 212Total Strikes101 of 198
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:54
Winvs. Michael JohnsonUnanimous DecisionFeb 6, 2021UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaMichael Johnson
1356Fighter Elo Going In1457
1519Classic Elo Going In1498
49 of 89Significant Strikes58 of 126
65 of 107Total Strikes70 of 138
3 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
6:53Control Time3:03
Lossvs. King GreenUnanimous DecisionJun 20, 2020UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaKing Green
1430Fighter Elo Going In1516
1537Classic Elo Going In1504
23 of 65Significant Strikes85 of 150
27 of 69Total Strikes90 of 158
3 of 12Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
4:32Control Time1:11
Lossvs. Jim MillerSubmission · R1 0:58Aug 3, 2019UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaJim Miller
1429Fighter Elo Going In1412
1553Classic Elo Going In1556
2 of 5Significant Strikes2 of 8
2 of 5Total Strikes2 of 8
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:11Control Time0:00
Winvs. BJ PennUnanimous DecisionMay 11, 2019UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaBJ Penn
1450Fighter Elo Going In1415
1538Classic Elo Going In1506
80 of 208Significant Strikes64 of 177
113 of 242Total Strikes74 of 188
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:03Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Charles OliveiraSubmission · R1 2:18Jun 9, 2018UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaCharles Oliveira
1491Fighter Elo Going In1560
1555Classic Elo Going In1536
9 of 25Significant Strikes14 of 29
9 of 25Total Strikes14 of 29
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:02
Winvs. Joe LauzonKO/TKO · R1 1:07Nov 11, 2017UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaJoe Lauzon
1479Fighter Elo Going In1395
1539Classic Elo Going In1544
24 of 40Significant Strikes1 of 7
31 of 48Total Strikes1 of 7
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:33Control Time0:00
Winvs. Erik KochUnanimous DecisionJun 25, 2017UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaErik Koch
1442Fighter Elo Going In1406
1523Classic Elo Going In1516
38 of 87Significant Strikes13 of 39
133 of 207Total Strikes17 of 44
2 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
9:52Control Time0:35
Lossvs. Brian OrtegaKO/TKO · R3 4:40Jun 4, 2016UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaBrian Ortega
1511Fighter Elo Going In1658
1539Classic Elo Going In1536
62 of 192Significant Strikes62 of 189
70 of 209Total Strikes62 of 189
0 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:31Control Time0:03
Lossvs. Thiago TavaresSubmission · R1 0:39Nov 7, 2015UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaThiago Tavares
1525Fighter Elo Going In1494
1556Classic Elo Going In1540
3 of 11Significant Strikes2 of 7
3 of 11Total Strikes2 of 7
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:18Control Time0:01
Winvs. Robert PeraltaUnanimous DecisionApr 4, 2015UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaRobert Peralta
1532Fighter Elo Going In1459
1540Classic Elo Going In1529
27 of 64Significant Strikes24 of 84
44 of 85Total Strikes41 of 103
6 of 11Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
11:10Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Dennis BermudezSubmission · R2 2:57Jul 26, 2014UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaDennis Bermudez
1539Fighter Elo Going In1692
1555Classic Elo Going In1578
28 of 79Significant Strikes47 of 114
39 of 95Total Strikes66 of 135
0 of 3Takedowns2 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:16Control Time2:11
Winvs. Tatsuya KawajiriUnanimous DecisionApr 11, 2014UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaTatsuya Kawajiri
1544Fighter Elo Going In1493
1540Classic Elo Going In1516
47 of 68Significant Strikes19 of 51
92 of 113Total Strikes36 of 68
3 of 10Takedowns1 of 5
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
8:59Control Time2:46
Lossvs. Chad MendesKO/TKO · R3 0:30Aug 31, 2013UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaChad Mendes
1591Fighter Elo Going In1673
1556Classic Elo Going In1562
17 of 99Significant Strikes32 of 66
19 of 101Total Strikes40 of 74
0 of 4Takedowns3 of 5
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:05Control Time3:07
Winvs. Hatsu HiokiSplit DecisionJan 26, 2013UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaHatsu Hioki
1612Fighter Elo Going In1540
1541Classic Elo Going In1515
26 of 112Significant Strikes41 of 99
40 of 136Total Strikes74 of 138
3 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
8:34Control Time0:10
Lossvs. Gray MaynardSplit DecisionJun 22, 2012UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Clay GuidaGray Maynard
1595Fighter Elo Going In1672
1555Classic Elo Going In1607
45 of 321Significant Strikes49 of 225
49 of 327Total Strikes52 of 229
0 of 3Takedowns1 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:47Control Time1:10
Lossvs. Benson HendersonUnanimous DecisionNov 12, 2011UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaBenson Henderson
1602Fighter Elo Going In1804
1573Classic Elo Going In1538
11 of 40Significant Strikes40 of 89
35 of 65Total Strikes102 of 158
2 of 9Takedowns2 of 7
0Knockdowns1
4Submission Attempts0
2:47Control Time7:27
Winvs. Anthony PettisUnanimous DecisionJun 4, 2011The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaAnthony Pettis
1601Fighter Elo Going In1545
1559Classic Elo Going In1500
19 of 65Significant Strikes14 of 51
63 of 112Total Strikes42 of 80
5 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
10:17Control Time0:43
Winvs. Takanori GomiSubmission · R2 4:27Jan 1, 2011UFC 125: Resolution

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaTakanori Gomi
1588Fighter Elo Going In1574
1545Classic Elo Going In1508
12 of 61Significant Strikes14 of 81
16 of 69Total Strikes14 of 81
3 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:48Control Time0:32
Winvs. Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission · R3 1:51Aug 7, 2010UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaRafael Dos Anjos
1590Fighter Elo Going In1613
1529Classic Elo Going In1523
19 of 90Significant Strikes17 of 64
47 of 123Total Strikes29 of 76
2 of 6Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:33Control Time0:51
Winvs. Shannon GugertySubmission · R2 3:40Mar 21, 2010UFC Live: Vera vs Jones

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaShannon Gugerty
1577Fighter Elo Going In1516
1514Classic Elo Going In1501
14 of 33Significant Strikes1 of 7
72 of 102Total Strikes6 of 12
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts3
7:27Control Time0:02
Lossvs. Kenny FlorianSubmission · R2 2:19Dec 12, 2009UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaKenny Florian
1598Fighter Elo Going In1629
1527Classic Elo Going In1592
13 of 69Significant Strikes22 of 78
14 of 71Total Strikes43 of 102
0 of 3Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:44Control Time1:04
Lossvs. Diego SanchezSplit DecisionJun 20, 2009The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaDiego Sanchez
1640Fighter Elo Going In1751
1540Classic Elo Going In1599
29 of 96Significant Strikes68 of 144
57 of 130Total Strikes80 of 156
2 of 7Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts3
7:57Control Time1:05
Winvs. Nate DiazSplit DecisionJan 31, 2009UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaNate Diaz
1654Fighter Elo Going In1626
1522Classic Elo Going In1574
49 of 99Significant Strikes49 of 135
75 of 127Total Strikes70 of 158
4 of 11Takedowns0 of 8
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
8:47Control Time0:51
Winvs. Mac DanzigUnanimous DecisionSep 17, 2008UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaMac Danzig
1630Fighter Elo Going In1695
1505Classic Elo Going In1531
43 of 106Significant Strikes36 of 108
67 of 133Total Strikes64 of 139
10 of 18Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:38Control Time0:34
Winvs. Samy SchiavoKO/TKO · R1 4:15Apr 2, 2008UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaSamy Schiavo
1635Fighter Elo Going In1325
1488Classic Elo Going In1500
11 of 26Significant Strikes4 of 22
24 of 39Total Strikes4 of 22
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:55Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Roger HuertaSubmission · R3 0:51Dec 8, 2007The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaRoger Huerta
1578Fighter Elo Going In1642
1501Classic Elo Going In1573
47 of 85Significant Strikes31 of 102
100 of 150Total Strikes53 of 140
6 of 11Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts3
5:54Control Time0:50
Winvs. Marcus AurelioSplit DecisionAug 25, 2007UFC 74: Respect

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaMarcus Aurelio
1539Fighter Elo Going In1430
1484Classic Elo Going In1500
44 of 181Significant Strikes40 of 135
71 of 208Total Strikes47 of 142
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 3
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:27Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Tyson GriffinSplit DecisionJun 16, 2007UFC 72: Victory

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaTyson Griffin
1546Fighter Elo Going In1636
1500Classic Elo Going In1499
36 of 65Significant Strikes50 of 87
82 of 114Total Strikes87 of 125
4 of 14Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts2
7:51Control Time1:49
Lossvs. Din ThomasUnanimous DecisionJan 25, 2007UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaDin Thomas
1494Fighter Elo Going In1521
1516Classic Elo Going In1518
33 of 105Significant Strikes33 of 113
93 of 170Total Strikes51 of 131
5 of 16Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
6:52Control Time0:48
Winvs. Justin JamesSubmission · R2 4:42Oct 14, 2006UFC 64: Unstoppable

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Clay GuidaJustin James
1375Fighter Elo Going In1317
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
26 of 52Significant Strikes13 of 36
93 of 125Total Strikes28 of 52
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
7:29Control Time0:26