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All Fighters
Lightweight · Last Fought Dec 2009

Shane Nelson

UFC Record
2-2
Age
41
Height
5'9"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1477Going Into Their Last Fight, Dec 2009
1611Best, Aug 2009
1496Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

140015001600170020091441 going into George Roop, Dec 20081563 going into Aaron Riley, Mar 20091611 going into Aaron Riley, Aug 20091477 going into Matt Wiman, Dec 20091477
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1496After Their Last Fight, Dec 2009
1531Best, Aug 2009
1477Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155020091500 going into George Roop, Dec 20081516 going into Aaron Riley, Mar 20091531 going into Aaron Riley, Aug 20091512 going into Matt Wiman, Dec 20091496 after their last fight1496
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

1.38Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
31%Striking Accuracy
2.84Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
61%Striking Defense
0.33Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.31Takedowns per 15 Minutes
18%Takedown Accuracy
55%Takedown Defense
1.64Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
20%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins101
Losses002

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Matt WimanUnanimous DecisionDec 12, 2009UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Shane NelsonMatt Wiman
1477Fighter Elo Going In1516
1512Classic Elo Going In1512
20 of 85Significant Strikes55 of 130
45 of 115Total Strikes82 of 164
1 of 7Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
1:17Control Time5:38
Lossvs. Aaron RileyUnanimous DecisionAug 8, 2009UFC 101: Declaration

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Shane NelsonAaron Riley
1611Fighter Elo Going In1403
1531Classic Elo Going In1472
28 of 74Significant Strikes50 of 122
80 of 128Total Strikes154 of 236
0 of 5Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time7:45
Winvs. Aaron RileyKO/TKO · R1 0:44Mar 7, 2009UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Shane NelsonAaron Riley
1563Fighter Elo Going In1443
1516Classic Elo Going In1487
5 of 12Significant Strikes4 of 9
5 of 12Total Strikes4 of 9
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:02
Winvs. George RoopSplit DecisionDec 13, 2008The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Shane NelsonGeorge Roop
1441Fighter Elo Going In1426
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
10 of 32Significant Strikes21 of 74
69 of 95Total Strikes93 of 153
3 of 10Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
7:58Control Time3:57