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Middleweight · Last Fought May 2024

Warlley Alves

UFC Record
8-8
Age
35
Height
5'11"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1398Going Into Their Last Fight, May 2024
1679Best, Nov 2014
1489Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

13001400150016001700201520172019202120231455 going into Marcio Alexandre Junior, May 20141679 going into Alan Jouban, Nov 20141638 going into Nordine Taleb, Aug 20151631 going into Colby Covington, Dec 20151651 going into Bryan Barberena, May 20161594 going into Kamaru Usman, Nov 20161571 going into Salim Touahri, Oct 20171570 going into Sultan Aliev, May 20181558 going into James Krause, Aug 20181500 going into Sergio Moraes, May 20191574 going into Randy Brown, Nov 20191522 going into Mounir Lazzez, Jan 20211564 going into Jeremiah Wells, Jun 20211485 going into Nicolas Dalby, Jan 20231442 going into Ikram Aliskerov, Oct 20231398 going into Abus Magomedov, May 20241398
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1489After Their Last Fight, May 2024
1565Best, May 2016
1398Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015501600201520172019202120231500 going into Marcio Alexandre Junior, May 20141516 going into Alan Jouban, Nov 20141532 going into Nordine Taleb, Aug 20151549 going into Colby Covington, Dec 20151565 going into Bryan Barberena, May 20161547 going into Kamaru Usman, Nov 20161531 going into Salim Touahri, Oct 20171545 going into Sultan Aliev, May 20181559 going into James Krause, Aug 20181543 going into Sergio Moraes, May 20191560 going into Randy Brown, Nov 20191543 going into Mounir Lazzez, Jan 20211558 going into Jeremiah Wells, Jun 20211539 going into Nicolas Dalby, Jan 20231522 going into Ikram Aliskerov, Oct 20231506 going into Abus Magomedov, May 20241489 after their last fight1489
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.04Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
48%Striking Accuracy
3.95Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
51%Striking Defense
0.28Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.22Takedowns per 15 Minutes
50%Takedown Accuracy
63%Takedown Defense
0.85Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
22%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins332
Losses314

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Abus MagomedovUnanimous DecisionMay 18, 2024UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesAbus Magomedov
1398Fighter Elo Going In1450
1506Classic Elo Going In1490
16 of 38Significant Strikes22 of 44
17 of 39Total Strikes98 of 168
0 of 0Takedowns6 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:37Control Time11:56
Lossvs. Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO · R1 2:07Oct 21, 2023UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesIkram Aliskerov
1442Fighter Elo Going In1639
1522Classic Elo Going In1517
12 of 16Significant Strikes26 of 36
12 of 16Total Strikes26 of 36
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Nicolas DalbySplit DecisionJan 21, 2023UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesNicolas Dalby
1485Fighter Elo Going In1413
1539Classic Elo Going In1524
66 of 144Significant Strikes119 of 248
75 of 153Total Strikes167 of 298
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:09Control Time4:02
Lossvs. Jeremiah WellsKO/TKO · R2 0:30Jun 26, 2021UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesJeremiah Wells
1564Fighter Elo Going In1349
1558Classic Elo Going In1500
15 of 17Significant Strikes21 of 52
15 of 17Total Strikes29 of 62
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
0:22Control Time3:32
Winvs. Mounir LazzezKO/TKO · R1 2:35Jan 20, 2021UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesMounir Lazzez
1522Fighter Elo Going In1574
1543Classic Elo Going In1518
17 of 21Significant Strikes2 of 2
24 of 30Total Strikes2 of 2
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:36Control Time0:42
Lossvs. Randy BrownSubmission · R2 1:22Nov 16, 2019UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesRandy Brown
1574Fighter Elo Going In1571
1560Classic Elo Going In1531
3 of 11Significant Strikes16 of 30
8 of 18Total Strikes24 of 38
3 of 3Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
4:17Control Time1:12
Winvs. Sergio MoraesKO/TKO · R3 4:13May 11, 2019UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesSergio Moraes
1500Fighter Elo Going In1463
1543Classic Elo Going In1571
72 of 157Significant Strikes20 of 62
72 of 157Total Strikes20 of 62
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:00
Lossvs. James KrauseKO/TKO · R2 2:28Aug 25, 2018UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesJames Krause
1558Fighter Elo Going In1543
1559Classic Elo Going In1549
28 of 64Significant Strikes59 of 106
39 of 78Total Strikes79 of 126
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:02Control Time2:05
Winvs. Sultan AlievTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 5:00May 12, 2018UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesSultan Aliev
1570Fighter Elo Going In1477
1545Classic Elo Going In1502
29 of 50Significant Strikes12 of 28
54 of 78Total Strikes14 of 30
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:24Control Time2:07
Winvs. Salim TouahriUnanimous DecisionOct 21, 2017UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesSalim Touahri
1571Fighter Elo Going In1408
1531Classic Elo Going In1500
38 of 95Significant Strikes35 of 74
55 of 113Total Strikes49 of 88
2 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:45Control Time0:17
Lossvs. Kamaru UsmanUnanimous DecisionNov 19, 2016UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesKamaru Usman
1594Fighter Elo Going In1689
1547Classic Elo Going In1547
25 of 73Significant Strikes71 of 150
26 of 74Total Strikes129 of 216
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time5:21
Lossvs. Bryan BarberenaUnanimous DecisionMay 14, 2016UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesBryan Barberena
1651Fighter Elo Going In1609
1565Classic Elo Going In1519
79 of 136Significant Strikes120 of 231
82 of 139Total Strikes164 of 281
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:56Control Time3:25
Winvs. Colby CovingtonSubmission · R1 1:26Dec 12, 2015UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesColby Covington
1631Fighter Elo Going In1614
1549Classic Elo Going In1548
2 of 4Significant Strikes2 of 2
2 of 4Total Strikes2 of 2
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:03
Winvs. Nordine TalebSubmission · R2 4:11Aug 1, 2015UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesNordine Taleb
1638Fighter Elo Going In1617
1532Classic Elo Going In1547
17 of 38Significant Strikes17 of 34
23 of 46Total Strikes30 of 47
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:18Control Time1:04
Winvs. Alan JoubanUnanimous DecisionNov 8, 2014UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesAlan Jouban
1679Fighter Elo Going In1474
1516Classic Elo Going In1517
47 of 106Significant Strikes79 of 156
51 of 111Total Strikes96 of 173
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:02Control Time0:35
Winvs. Marcio Alexandre JuniorSubmission · R3 0:25May 31, 2014UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado

Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Middleweight Tournament Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Warlley AlvesMarcio Alexandre Junior
1455Fighter Elo Going In1449
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
19 of 39Significant Strikes8 of 21
44 of 67Total Strikes22 of 36
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
7:39Control Time0:05