Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
Women's Flyweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 17
Fighter Elo 1689Very Confident: Erin BlanchfieldFighter Elo 1473
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Erin BlanchfieldJasmine Jasudavicius
47%Decision18%
16%KO/TKO2%
14%Submission2%
65%Goes the Distance
12.4 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Erin Blanchfield is ahead by 216 in total.
Erin BlanchfieldJasmine Jasudavicius
Age and Build+96Past Results+69Grappling+28Striking+16Activity+7
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Erin Blanchfield | Jasmine Jasudavicius | |
|---|---|---|
| 63.419 to 114 | Significant Strikes | 44.211 to 80 |
| 10 to 3 | Takedowns | 10 to 3 |
| 0.1usually 0 | Knockdowns | 0usually 0 |
| 3 min0 to 7.5 | Control Time | 2.1 min0 to 6.1 |
| 0.50 to 2 | Submission Attempts | 0.20 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Erin Blanchfield55%
Jasmine Jasudavicius31%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Erin Blanchfield won by submission against Tracy Cortez last time out, in 2025.
- Jasmine Jasudavicius won by decision against Karine Silva last time out, in 2026.
- Erin Blanchfield is younger by 10 years.
- Jasmine Jasudavicius has a longer reach by 2 inches.
- Both have fought Tracy Cortez: Erin Blanchfield won by submission in 2025, Jasmine Jasudavicius lost by decision in 2023.
- Both have fought Manon Fiorot: Erin Blanchfield lost by decision in 2024, Jasmine Jasudavicius lost by KO/TKO in 2025.
- Erin Blanchfield lands 5.2 significant strikes a minute to Jasmine Jasudavicius's 3.4.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.