Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus
Middleweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 17
Fighter Elo 1286Confident: Kyle DaukausFighter Elo 1408
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Marc-Andre BarriaultKyle Daukaus
10%Decision29%
20%KO/TKO20%
3%Submission18%
39%Goes the Distance
9 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Kyle Daukaus is ahead by 122 in total.
Marc-Andre BarriaultKyle Daukaus
Experience+13Activity+8Grappling+7Past Results+10Age and Build+38Striking+101
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Marc-Andre Barriault | Kyle Daukaus | |
|---|---|---|
| 41.56 to 88 | Significant Strikes | 45.46 to 97 |
| 0.20 to 1 | Takedowns | 1.30 to 4 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 1 min0 to 3.1 | Control Time | 2.5 min0 to 6.8 |
| 0.1usually 0 | Submission Attempts | 0.40 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Marc-Andre Barriault39%
Kyle Daukaus43%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Marc-Andre Barriault has lost their last 2 UFC fights.
- Kyle Daukaus lost by KO/TKO against Bo Nickal last time out, in 2026.
- Kyle Daukaus is younger by 3 years.
- Kyle Daukaus has a longer reach by 2 inches.
- Both have fought Dustin Stoltzfus: Marc-Andre Barriault lost by KO/TKO in 2024, Kyle Daukaus won by decision in 2020.
- Both have fought Eryk Anders: Marc-Andre Barriault won by decision in 2023, Kyle Daukaus lost by KO/TKO in 2022.
- Marc-Andre Barriault lands 5.7 significant strikes a minute to Kyle Daukaus's 2.9.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.