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All Fighters
Lightweight · Last Fought Feb 2010

Justin Buchholz

UFC Record
1-4
Age
43
Height
6'0"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1337Going Into Their Last Fight, Feb 2010
1523Best, Jun 2009
1455Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1300140015001600200920101446 going into Matt Wiman, Jan 20081479 going into Corey Hill, Jul 20081523 going into Terry Etim, Jun 20091426 going into Jeremy Stephens, Sep 20091337 going into Mac Danzig, Feb 20101337
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1455After Their Last Fight, Feb 2010
1502Best, Jun 2009
1337Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550200920101500 going into Matt Wiman, Jan 20081485 going into Corey Hill, Jul 20081502 going into Terry Etim, Jun 20091487 going into Jeremy Stephens, Sep 20091471 going into Mac Danzig, Feb 20101455 after their last fight1455
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.35Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
27%Striking Accuracy
4.14Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
51%Striking Defense
0.40Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.00Takedowns per 15 Minutes
0%Takedown Accuracy
33%Takedown Defense
0.79Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
12%Share of Fight Time in Control
7.6 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins010
Losses121

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Mac DanzigUnanimous DecisionFeb 6, 2010UFC 109: Relentless

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin BuchholzMac Danzig
1337Fighter Elo Going In1498
1471Classic Elo Going In1482
30 of 130Significant Strikes62 of 126
36 of 141Total Strikes146 of 219
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 6
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:23Control Time4:45
Lossvs. Jeremy StephensTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R1 3:23Sep 16, 2009UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin BuchholzJeremy Stephens
1426Fighter Elo Going In1534
1487Classic Elo Going In1488
9 of 49Significant Strikes28 of 50
11 of 51Total Strikes30 of 52
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:26
Lossvs. Terry EtimSubmission · R2 2:38Jun 13, 2009UFC 99: The Comeback

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin BuchholzTerry Etim
1523Fighter Elo Going In1600
1502Classic Elo Going In1517
23 of 66Significant Strikes27 of 50
43 of 86Total Strikes31 of 54
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
1:57Control Time1:44
Winvs. Corey HillSubmission · R2 3:57Jul 5, 2008UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin BuchholzCorey Hill
1479Fighter Elo Going In1577
1485Classic Elo Going In1515
24 of 80Significant Strikes34 of 88
40 of 96Total Strikes44 of 98
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:11Control Time2:33
Lossvs. Matt WimanSubmission · R1 2:56Jan 23, 2008UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin BuchholzMatt Wiman
1446Fighter Elo Going In1536
1500Classic Elo Going In1517
3 of 10Significant Strikes6 of 9
3 of 10Total Strikes24 of 30
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
0:00Control Time2:40