Middleweight · Last Fought Aug 2016

Kevin Casey

UFC Record: 1-3-1
Age: 45
Height: 5'11"
Reach: 77"
Stance: Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo

1378Going Into Their Last Fight, Aug 2016

1475Best, Jan 2016

1474Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.

Classic Elo

1474After Their Last Fight, Aug 2016

1502Best, Jan 2016

1378Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.74Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute

55%Striking Accuracy

3.80Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute

48%Striking Defense

0.24Knockdowns per 15 Minutes

0.72Takedowns per 15 Minutes

21%Takedown Accuracy

43%Takedown Defense

0.48Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes

30%Share of Fight Time in Control

8.9 minAverage Fight Length

Ended By	KO/TKO	Submission	Decision
Wins	0	0	1
Losses	3	0	0