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Welterweight · Last Fought Feb 2017

Roan Carneiro

UFC Record
4-5
Age
48
Height
5'11"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1468Going Into Their Last Fight, Feb 2017
1640Best, Jun 2008
1494Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

13001400150016001700200820102012201420161330 going into Rich Clementi, Apr 20071485 going into Jon Fitch, Jun 20071524 going into Tony DeSouza, Dec 20071640 going into Kevin Burns, Jun 20081607 going into Ryo Chonan, Sep 20081446 going into Mark Munoz, Feb 20151501 going into Derek Brunson, Feb 20161423 going into Kenny Robertson, Sep 20161468 going into Ryan LaFlare, Feb 20171468
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1494After Their Last Fight, Feb 2017
1519Best, Jun 2008
1468Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550200820102012201420161500 going into Rich Clementi, Apr 20071515 going into Jon Fitch, Jun 20071502 going into Tony DeSouza, Dec 20071519 going into Kevin Burns, Jun 20081502 going into Ryo Chonan, Sep 20081485 going into Mark Munoz, Feb 20151504 going into Derek Brunson, Feb 20161491 going into Kenny Robertson, Sep 20161508 going into Ryan LaFlare, Feb 20171494 after their last fight1494
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

1.51Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
48%Striking Accuracy
1.67Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
65%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.08Takedowns per 15 Minutes
47%Takedown Accuracy
83%Takedown Defense
1.54Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
43%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins112
Losses122

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Ryan LaFlareUnanimous DecisionFeb 11, 2017UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroRyan LaFlare
1468Fighter Elo Going In1521
1508Classic Elo Going In1566
19 of 50Significant Strikes29 of 91
25 of 56Total Strikes51 of 116
0 of 4Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:52Control Time5:09
Winvs. Kenny RobertsonSplit DecisionSep 17, 2016UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroKenny Robertson
1423Fighter Elo Going In1489
1491Classic Elo Going In1510
33 of 70Significant Strikes28 of 134
43 of 80Total Strikes45 of 153
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:37Control Time3:10
Lossvs. Derek BrunsonKO/TKO · R1 2:38Feb 21, 2016UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroDerek Brunson
1501Fighter Elo Going In1607
1504Classic Elo Going In1564
0 of 13Significant Strikes23 of 51
0 of 13Total Strikes27 of 57
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:42
Winvs. Mark MunozSubmission · R1 1:40Feb 28, 2015UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroMark Munoz
1446Fighter Elo Going In1485
1485Classic Elo Going In1551
1 of 3Significant Strikes0 of 1
2 of 4Total Strikes0 of 1
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:53Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Ryo ChonanSplit DecisionSep 6, 2008UFC 88: Breakthrough

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroRyo Chonan
1607Fighter Elo Going In1507
1502Classic Elo Going In1487
18 of 38Significant Strikes23 of 58
68 of 92Total Strikes72 of 111
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
5:19Control Time7:40
Lossvs. Kevin BurnsSubmission · R2 3:50Jun 7, 2008UFC 85: Bedlam

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroKevin Burns
1640Fighter Elo Going In1413
1519Classic Elo Going In1500
12 of 30Significant Strikes8 of 13
36 of 57Total Strikes55 of 61
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
7:04Control Time0:54
Winvs. Tony DeSouzaKO/TKO · R2 3:33Dec 29, 2007UFC 79: Nemesis

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroTony DeSouza
1524Fighter Elo Going In1399
1502Classic Elo Going In1513
24 of 27Significant Strikes9 of 15
73 of 77Total Strikes37 of 44
3 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
4:48Control Time2:18
Lossvs. Jon FitchSubmission · R2 1:07Jun 12, 2007UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroJon Fitch
1485Fighter Elo Going In1741
1515Classic Elo Going In1576
4 of 10Significant Strikes18 of 34
5 of 11Total Strikes54 of 70
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
3:36Control Time1:13
Winvs. Rich ClementiUnanimous DecisionApr 5, 2007UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Roan CarneiroRich Clementi
1330Fighter Elo Going In1383
1500Classic Elo Going In1485
22 of 36Significant Strikes9 of 27
59 of 77Total Strikes59 of 77
7 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
4Submission Attempts0
11:51Control Time0:09