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Lightweight · Active

Terrance McKinney

UFC Record
8-6
Age
32
Height
5'10"
Reach
73"
Stance
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Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1482Today
1581Best, Jan 2023
1526Classic Elo
#181 Men: Pound for Pound#34 Lightweight
1300140015001600202220232024202520261346 going into Matt Frevola, Jun 20211492 going into Fares Ziam, Feb 20221555 going into Drew Dober, Mar 20221555 going into Erick Gonzalez, Aug 20221581 going into Ismael Bonfim, Jan 20231499 going into Nazim Sadykhov, Jul 20231474 going into Mike Breeden, Aug 20231521 going into Brendon Marotte, Oct 20231546 going into Esteban Ribovics, May 20241483 going into Damir Hadzovic, Feb 20251556 going into Viacheslav Borshchev, Jun 20251573 going into Chris Duncan, Dec 20251492 going into Kyle Nelson, Mar 20261498 going into King Green, Jul 20261482 today1482
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1526Today
1540Best, Dec 2025
1482Fighter Elo
#236 Men: Pound for Pound#40 Lightweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550202220232024202520261500 going into Matt Frevola, Jun 20211516 going into Fares Ziam, Feb 20221532 going into Drew Dober, Mar 20221516 going into Erick Gonzalez, Aug 20221531 going into Ismael Bonfim, Jan 20231514 going into Nazim Sadykhov, Jul 20231498 going into Mike Breeden, Aug 20231512 going into Brendon Marotte, Oct 20231528 going into Esteban Ribovics, May 20241511 going into Damir Hadzovic, Feb 20251526 going into Viacheslav Borshchev, Jun 20251540 going into Chris Duncan, Dec 20251525 going into Kyle Nelson, Mar 20261540 going into King Green, Jul 20261526 today1526
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

7.95Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
56%Striking Accuracy
4.76Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
42%Striking Defense
1.31Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.05Takedowns per 15 Minutes
47%Takedown Accuracy
73%Takedown Defense
2.18Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
45%Share of Fight Time in Control
2.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins530
Losses420

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. King GreenKO/TKO · R1 4:59Jul 11, 2026UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyKing Green
1498Fighter Elo Going In1549
1540Classic Elo Going In1573
45 of 80Significant Strikes43 of 72
59 of 96Total Strikes57 of 86
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
2:12Control Time0:03
Winvs. Kyle NelsonKO/TKO · R1 0:24Mar 28, 2026UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyKyle Nelson
1492Fighter Elo Going In1394
1525Classic Elo Going In1516
13 of 27Significant Strikes1 of 3
15 of 29Total Strikes1 of 3
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:13Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Chris DuncanSubmission · R1 2:30Dec 6, 2025UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyChris Duncan
1573Fighter Elo Going In1525
1540Classic Elo Going In1562
31 of 57Significant Strikes38 of 55
31 of 57Total Strikes53 of 75
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time1:10
Winvs. Viacheslav BorshchevSubmission · R1 0:55Jun 28, 2025UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyViacheslav Borshchev
1556Fighter Elo Going In1392
1526Classic Elo Going In1487
1 of 2Significant Strikes2 of 2
1 of 2Total Strikes2 of 2
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
0:47Control Time0:00
Winvs. Damir HadzovicKO/TKO · R1 2:01Feb 1, 2025UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyDamir Hadzovic
1483Fighter Elo Going In1341
1511Classic Elo Going In1492
54 of 69Significant Strikes4 of 13
69 of 90Total Strikes4 of 13
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:00Control Time0:08
Lossvs. Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO · R1 0:37May 11, 2024UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyEsteban Ribovics
1546Fighter Elo Going In1581
1528Classic Elo Going In1501
5 of 18Significant Strikes5 of 12
5 of 18Total Strikes5 of 12
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:03
Winvs. Brendon MarotteKO/TKO · R1 0:20Oct 14, 2023UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyBrendon Marotte
1521Fighter Elo Going In1403
1512Classic Elo Going In1500
14 of 21Significant Strikes1 of 1
14 of 21Total Strikes1 of 1
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:15Control Time0:00
Winvs. Mike BreedenKO/TKO · R1 1:25Aug 12, 2023UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyMike Breeden
1474Fighter Elo Going In1329
1498Classic Elo Going In1469
30 of 47Significant Strikes1 of 5
30 of 47Total Strikes1 of 5
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Nazim SadykhovSubmission · R2 1:07Jul 15, 2023UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyNazim Sadykhov
1499Fighter Elo Going In1450
1514Classic Elo Going In1515
6 of 14Significant Strikes8 of 15
21 of 34Total Strikes20 of 27
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
4:16Control Time0:55
Lossvs. Ismael BonfimKO/TKO · R2 2:17Jan 21, 2023UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyIsmael Bonfim
1581Fighter Elo Going In1420
1531Classic Elo Going In1500
14 of 49Significant Strikes34 of 49
20 of 55Total Strikes38 of 53
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
2:16Control Time0:48
Winvs. Erick GonzalezSubmission · R1 2:17Aug 6, 2022UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyErick Gonzalez
1555Fighter Elo Going In1385
1516Classic Elo Going In1486
18 of 37Significant Strikes9 of 16
23 of 42Total Strikes10 of 18
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:52Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Drew DoberKO/TKO · R1 3:17Mar 12, 2022UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyDrew Dober
1555Fighter Elo Going In1476
1532Classic Elo Going In1537
36 of 61Significant Strikes17 of 37
43 of 74Total Strikes31 of 52
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:33Control Time0:24
Winvs. Fares ZiamSubmission · R1 2:11Feb 26, 2022UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyFares Ziam
1492Fighter Elo Going In1542
1516Classic Elo Going In1517
3 of 4Significant Strikes1 of 1
13 of 16Total Strikes1 of 1
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:03Control Time0:04
Winvs. Matt FrevolaKO/TKO · R1 0:07Jun 12, 2021UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Terrance McKinneyMatt Frevola
1346Fighter Elo Going In1409
1500Classic Elo Going In1504
4 of 5Significant Strikes0 of 0
5 of 7Total Strikes0 of 0
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00