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Flyweight · Active

Alessandro Costa

UFC Record
5-3
Age
30
Height
5'4"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1497Today
1555Best, Nov 2023
1532Classic Elo
1400145015001550160020232024202520261462 going into Amir Albazi, Dec 20221457 going into Jimmy Flick, Jun 20231555 going into Steve Erceg, Nov 20231448 going into Kevin Borjas, May 20241431 going into Alden Coria, Sep 20251425 going into Stewart Nicoll, Apr 20261437 going into Matt Schnell, Jun 20261466 going into Cody Durden, Jul 20261497 today1497
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1532Today
1497Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155020232024202520261500 going into Amir Albazi, Dec 20221486 going into Jimmy Flick, Jun 20231503 going into Steve Erceg, Nov 20231487 going into Kevin Borjas, May 20241503 going into Alden Coria, Sep 20251487 going into Stewart Nicoll, Apr 20261502 going into Matt Schnell, Jun 20261518 going into Cody Durden, Jul 20261532 today1532
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.94Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
49%Striking Accuracy
3.81Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
54%Striking Defense
0.85Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.85Takedowns per 15 Minutes
27%Takedown Accuracy
85%Takedown Defense
0.85Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
9%Share of Fight Time in Control
8.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins410
Losses201

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Cody DurdenSubmission · R2 2:19Jul 11, 2026UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaCody Durden
1466Fighter Elo Going In1361
1518Classic Elo Going In1485
21 of 49Significant Strikes28 of 73
25 of 53Total Strikes30 of 75
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:01Control Time0:12
Winvs. Matt SchnellKO/TKO · R1 2:28Jun 6, 2026UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaMatt Schnell
1437Fighter Elo Going In1296
1502Classic Elo Going In1490
19 of 23Significant Strikes8 of 21
19 of 23Total Strikes8 of 21
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time0:00
Winvs. Stewart NicollKO/TKO · R2 4:56Apr 4, 2026UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
1425Fighter Elo Going In1309
1487Classic Elo Going In1469
43 of 89Significant Strikes47 of 99
47 of 97Total Strikes47 of 99
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 5
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:18Control Time0:06
Lossvs. Alden CoriaKO/TKO · R3 0:47Sep 13, 2025Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaAlden Coria
1431Fighter Elo Going In1364
1503Classic Elo Going In1500
12 of 56Significant Strikes42 of 95
14 of 59Total Strikes77 of 131
1 of 4Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:24Control Time3:18
Winvs. Kevin BorjasKO/TKO · R2 1:35May 4, 2024UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaKevin Borjas
1448Fighter Elo Going In1396
1487Classic Elo Going In1485
46 of 86Significant Strikes18 of 56
60 of 104Total Strikes18 of 56
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:43Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Steve ErcegUnanimous DecisionNov 11, 2023UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaSteve Erceg
1555Fighter Elo Going In1469
1503Classic Elo Going In1517
54 of 97Significant Strikes74 of 125
85 of 129Total Strikes104 of 162
1 of 6Takedowns1 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:14Control Time6:29
Winvs. Jimmy FlickKO/TKO · R2 1:03Jun 17, 2023UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaJimmy Flick
1457Fighter Elo Going In1342
1486Classic Elo Going In1499
65 of 91Significant Strikes14 of 37
65 of 92Total Strikes14 of 37
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:50Control Time0:14
Lossvs. Amir AlbaziKO/TKO · R3 2:13Dec 17, 2022UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alessandro CostaAmir Albazi
1462Fighter Elo Going In1545
1500Classic Elo Going In1546
17 of 71Significant Strikes37 of 81
38 of 107Total Strikes62 of 110
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time5:54