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Flyweight · Active

Jesus Aguilar

UFC Record
4-3
Age
30
Height
5'4"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1423Today
1491Best, Feb 2024
1512Classic Elo
#260 Men: Pound for Pound#27 Flyweight
13501400145015002024202520261459 going into Tatsuro Taira, Feb 20231476 going into Shannon Ross, Jul 20231491 going into Mateus Mendonca, Feb 20241380 going into Stewart Nicoll, Aug 20241400 going into Rafael Estevam, Feb 20251445 going into Luis Gurule, Sep 20251459 going into Sumudaerji, Mar 20261423 today1423
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1512Today
1531Best, Feb 2025
1423Fighter Elo
#282 Men: Pound for Pound#27 Flyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502024202520261500 going into Tatsuro Taira, Feb 20231485 going into Shannon Ross, Jul 20231501 going into Mateus Mendonca, Feb 20241516 going into Stewart Nicoll, Aug 20241531 going into Rafael Estevam, Feb 20251514 going into Luis Gurule, Sep 20251529 going into Sumudaerji, Mar 20261512 today1512
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.63Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
37%Striking Accuracy
2.48Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
61%Striking Defense
0.22Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.11Takedowns per 15 Minutes
26%Takedown Accuracy
46%Takedown Defense
1.11Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
14%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.6 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins112
Losses012

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. SumudaerjiUnanimous DecisionMar 7, 2026UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jesus AguilarSumudaerji
1459Fighter Elo Going In1490
1529Classic Elo Going In1513
31 of 106Significant Strikes62 of 148
42 of 120Total Strikes69 of 156
1 of 5Takedowns4 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:05Control Time2:36
Winvs. Luis GuruleUnanimous DecisionSep 13, 2025Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jesus AguilarLuis Gurule
1445Fighter Elo Going In1336
1514Classic Elo Going In1482
85 of 235Significant Strikes65 of 186
87 of 237Total Strikes73 of 195
1 of 5Takedowns0 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:38Control Time0:21
Lossvs. Rafael EstevamUnanimous DecisionFeb 15, 2025UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jesus AguilarRafael Estevam
1400Fighter Elo Going In1338
1531Classic Elo Going In1515
35 of 87Significant Strikes11 of 30
41 of 95Total Strikes60 of 96
2 of 5Takedowns11 of 19
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:14Control Time9:22
Winvs. Stewart NicollSubmission · R1 2:39Aug 17, 2024UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jesus AguilarStewart Nicoll
1380Fighter Elo Going In1378
1516Classic Elo Going In1500
3 of 5Significant Strikes8 of 17
3 of 5Total Strikes15 of 29
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:16Control Time2:04
Winvs. Mateus MendoncaSplit DecisionFeb 24, 2024UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jesus AguilarMateus Mendonca
1491Fighter Elo Going In1410
1501Classic Elo Going In1471
19 of 36Significant Strikes18 of 40
38 of 62Total Strikes43 of 90
1 of 4Takedowns4 of 8
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
4:51Control Time8:44
Winvs. Shannon RossKO/TKO · R1 0:17Jul 8, 2023UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jesus AguilarShannon Ross
1476Fighter Elo Going In1205
1485Classic Elo Going In1483
2 of 3Significant Strikes2 of 3
2 of 3Total Strikes2 of 3
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Tatsuro TairaSubmission · R1 4:20Feb 4, 2023UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Jesus AguilarTatsuro Taira
1459Fighter Elo Going In1660
1500Classic Elo Going In1531
2 of 2Significant Strikes1 of 1
2 of 2Total Strikes5 of 5
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts2
0:23Control Time3:49