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Light Heavyweight · Active

Modestas Bukauskas

UFC Record
9-5
Age
32
Height
6'3"
Reach
76"
Stance
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Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1428Today
1487Best, Sep 2021
1563Classic Elo
#254 Men: Pound for Pound#30 Light Heavyweight
1400145015002021202220232024202520261440 going into Andreas Michailidis, Jul 20201478 going into Jimmy Crute, Oct 20201474 going into Michal Oleksiejczuk, Mar 20211487 going into Khalil Rountree Jr., Sep 20211412 going into Tyson Pedro, Feb 20231444 going into Zac Pauga, Jun 20231455 going into Vitor Petrino, Nov 20231432 going into Marcin Prachnio, Jul 20241433 going into Rafael Cerquiera, Feb 20251449 going into Ion Cutelaba, May 20251460 going into Paul Craig, Sep 20251476 going into Nikita Krylov, Jan 20261434 going into Christian Edwards, May 20261439 going into Oumar Sy, Sep 20261428 today1428
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1563Today
1428Fighter Elo
#131 Men: Pound for Pound#11 Light Heavyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155016002021202220232024202520261500 going into Andreas Michailidis, Jul 20201516 going into Jimmy Crute, Oct 20201501 going into Michal Oleksiejczuk, Mar 20211485 going into Khalil Rountree Jr., Sep 20211469 going into Tyson Pedro, Feb 20231487 going into Zac Pauga, Jun 20231504 going into Vitor Petrino, Nov 20231489 going into Marcin Prachnio, Jul 20241505 going into Rafael Cerquiera, Feb 20251520 going into Ion Cutelaba, May 20251536 going into Paul Craig, Sep 20251550 going into Nikita Krylov, Jan 20261534 going into Christian Edwards, May 20261548 going into Oumar Sy, Sep 20261563 today1563
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.10Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
43%Striking Accuracy
3.89Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
50%Striking Defense
0.21Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.21Takedowns per 15 Minutes
67%Takedown Accuracy
78%Takedown Defense
0.11Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
11%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins414
Losses401

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Oumar SyKO/TKO · R2 3:57Sep 5, 2026UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasOumar Sy
1439Fighter Elo Going In1614
1548Classic Elo Going In1514
22 of 46Significant Strikes39 of 59
29 of 56Total Strikes48 of 71
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 8
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:35Control Time5:08
Winvs. Christian EdwardsSplit DecisionMay 16, 2026UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasChristian Edwards
1434Fighter Elo Going In1362
1534Classic Elo Going In1500
36 of 80Significant Strikes36 of 71
52 of 99Total Strikes51 of 89
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:15Control Time4:22
Lossvs. Nikita KrylovKO/TKO · R3 4:57Jan 24, 2026UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasNikita Krylov
1476Fighter Elo Going In1458
1550Classic Elo Going In1537
40 of 108Significant Strikes72 of 137
43 of 111Total Strikes94 of 164
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:56Control Time2:37
Winvs. Paul CraigKO/TKO · R1 5:00Sep 6, 2025UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasPaul Craig
1460Fighter Elo Going In1378
1536Classic Elo Going In1508
22 of 36Significant Strikes6 of 14
29 of 44Total Strikes30 of 39
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:50Control Time0:45
Winvs. Ion CutelabaSplit DecisionMay 10, 2025UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasIon Cutelaba
1449Fighter Elo Going In1504
1520Classic Elo Going In1505
44 of 92Significant Strikes58 of 130
52 of 100Total Strikes121 of 194
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:26Control Time2:21
Winvs. Rafael CerquieraKO/TKO · R1 2:12Feb 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasRafael Cerquiera
1433Fighter Elo Going In1335
1505Classic Elo Going In1485
16 of 41Significant Strikes9 of 22
16 of 41Total Strikes9 of 22
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Marcin PrachnioSubmission · R3 3:12Jul 27, 2024UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasMarcin Prachnio
1432Fighter Elo Going In1407
1489Classic Elo Going In1492
38 of 76Significant Strikes70 of 139
56 of 101Total Strikes120 of 200
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
5:31Control Time0:09
Lossvs. Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO · R2 1:03Nov 4, 2023UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasVitor Petrino
1455Fighter Elo Going In1665
1504Classic Elo Going In1530
9 of 19Significant Strikes8 of 26
12 of 23Total Strikes14 of 34
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time2:19
Winvs. Zac PaugaUnanimous DecisionJun 17, 2023UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasZac Pauga
1444Fighter Elo Going In1420
1487Classic Elo Going In1499
56 of 112Significant Strikes67 of 117
62 of 120Total Strikes72 of 123
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:20Control Time2:17
Winvs. Tyson PedroUnanimous DecisionFeb 11, 2023UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasTyson Pedro
1412Fighter Elo Going In1563
1469Classic Elo Going In1528
44 of 109Significant Strikes45 of 81
56 of 121Total Strikes54 of 90
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:57Control Time3:01
Lossvs. Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO · R2 2:30Sep 4, 2021UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasKhalil Rountree Jr.
1487Fighter Elo Going In1412
1485Classic Elo Going In1483
23 of 49Significant Strikes38 of 92
23 of 49Total Strikes38 of 92
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:02
Lossvs. Michal OleksiejczukSplit DecisionMar 27, 2021UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasMichal Oleksiejczuk
1474Fighter Elo Going In1543
1501Classic Elo Going In1501
58 of 167Significant Strikes56 of 122
62 of 172Total Strikes77 of 144
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:04Control Time1:09
Lossvs. Jimmy CruteKO/TKO · R1 2:01Oct 17, 2020UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasJimmy Crute
1478Fighter Elo Going In1676
1516Classic Elo Going In1534
7 of 17Significant Strikes17 of 24
7 of 17Total Strikes18 of 25
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:25
Winvs. Andreas MichailidisKO/TKO · R1 5:00Jul 15, 2020UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Modestas BukauskasAndreas Michailidis
1440Fighter Elo Going In1322
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
18 of 49Significant Strikes23 of 46
18 of 49Total Strikes23 of 46
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:09