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Lightweight · Active

Paddy Pimblett

UFC Record
8-1
Age
31
Height
5'10"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1571Today
1661Best, Jul 2022
1607Classic Elo
1400150016001700202220232024202520261409 going into Luigi Vendramini, Sep 20211474 going into Kazula Vargas, Mar 20221661 going into Jordan Leavitt, Jul 20221587 going into Jared Gordon, Dec 20221535 going into Tony Ferguson, Dec 20231601 going into King Green, Jul 20241617 going into Michael Chandler, Apr 20251646 going into Justin Gaethje, Jan 20261553 going into Benoit Saint Denis, Jul 20261571 today1571
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1607Today
1571Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155016001650202220232024202520261500 going into Luigi Vendramini, Sep 20211515 going into Kazula Vargas, Mar 20221530 going into Jordan Leavitt, Jul 20221546 going into Jared Gordon, Dec 20221562 going into Tony Ferguson, Dec 20231579 going into King Green, Jul 20241595 going into Michael Chandler, Apr 20251606 going into Justin Gaethje, Jan 20261590 going into Benoit Saint Denis, Jul 20261607 today1607
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.48Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
53%Striking Accuracy
3.86Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
43%Striking Defense
0.34Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.68Takedowns per 15 Minutes
21%Takedown Accuracy
46%Takedown Defense
1.36Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
21%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins242
Losses001

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Benoit Saint DenisSubmission · R1 0:52Jul 11, 2026UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paddy PimblettBenoit Saint Denis
1553Fighter Elo Going In1709
1590Classic Elo Going In1605
4 of 5Significant Strikes1 of 3
4 of 5Total Strikes1 of 3
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:37Control Time0:04
Lossvs. Justin GaethjeUnanimous DecisionJan 24, 2026UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

UFC Interim Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Paddy PimblettJustin Gaethje
1646Fighter Elo Going In1508
1606Classic Elo Going In1607
156 of 311Significant Strikes144 of 254
170 of 326Total Strikes200 of 313
0 of 5Takedowns3 of 3
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:48Control Time5:55
Winvs. Michael ChandlerKO/TKO · R3 3:07Apr 12, 2025UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Paddy PimblettMichael Chandler
1617Fighter Elo Going In1371
1595Classic Elo Going In1501
80 of 143Significant Strikes11 of 28
121 of 197Total Strikes20 of 39
1 of 2Takedowns4 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:41Control Time2:44
Winvs. King GreenSubmission · R1 3:22Jul 27, 2024UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paddy PimblettKing Green
1601Fighter Elo Going In1543
1579Classic Elo Going In1565
8 of 13Significant Strikes15 of 21
10 of 16Total Strikes15 of 21
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:34
Winvs. Tony FergusonUnanimous DecisionDec 16, 2023UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paddy PimblettTony Ferguson
1535Fighter Elo Going In1345
1562Classic Elo Going In1581
106 of 165Significant Strikes62 of 105
151 of 217Total Strikes90 of 134
1 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:53Control Time0:00
Winvs. Jared GordonUnanimous DecisionDec 10, 2022UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paddy PimblettJared Gordon
1587Fighter Elo Going In1558
1546Classic Elo Going In1553
63 of 155Significant Strikes60 of 103
97 of 194Total Strikes100 of 143
0 of 3Takedowns3 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:35Control Time6:28
Winvs. Jordan LeavittSubmission · R2 2:46Jul 23, 2022UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paddy PimblettJordan Leavitt
1661Fighter Elo Going In1564
1530Classic Elo Going In1532
17 of 39Significant Strikes16 of 22
30 of 53Total Strikes41 of 48
1 of 1Takedowns3 of 9
0Knockdowns0
4Submission Attempts0
1:44Control Time4:50
Winvs. Kazula VargasSubmission · R1 3:49Mar 19, 2022UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paddy PimblettKazula Vargas
1474Fighter Elo Going In1404
1515Classic Elo Going In1485
3 of 6Significant Strikes7 of 9
5 of 8Total Strikes16 of 21
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:53Control Time2:43
Winvs. Luigi VendraminiKO/TKO · R1 4:25Sep 4, 2021UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paddy PimblettLuigi Vendramini
1409Fighter Elo Going In1540
1500Classic Elo Going In1487
47 of 81Significant Strikes25 of 51
47 of 81Total Strikes30 of 56
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:10Control Time0:27