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Light Heavyweight · Active

Paulo Costa

UFC Record
8-4
Age
35
Height
6'1"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1545Today
1616Best, Jul 2018
1576Classic Elo
#118 Men: Pound for Pound#10 Light Heavyweight
1400150016001700201820202022202420261430 going into Garreth McLellan, Mar 20171547 going into Oluwale Bamgbose, Jun 20171608 going into Johny Hendricks, Nov 20171616 going into Uriah Hall, Jul 20181566 going into Yoel Romero, Aug 20191554 going into Israel Adesanya, Sep 20201487 going into Marvin Vettori, Oct 20211512 going into Luke Rockhold, Aug 20221474 going into Robert Whittaker, Feb 20241479 going into Sean Strickland, Jun 20241448 going into Roman Kopylov, Jul 20251540 going into Azamat Murzakanov, Apr 20261545 today1545
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1576Today
1580Best, Sep 2020
1545Fighter Elo
#106 Men: Pound for Pound#7 Light Heavyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600201820202022202420261500 going into Garreth McLellan, Mar 20171515 going into Oluwale Bamgbose, Jun 20171529 going into Johny Hendricks, Nov 20171547 going into Uriah Hall, Jul 20181562 going into Yoel Romero, Aug 20191580 going into Israel Adesanya, Sep 20201567 going into Marvin Vettori, Oct 20211551 going into Luke Rockhold, Aug 20221567 going into Robert Whittaker, Feb 20241555 going into Sean Strickland, Jun 20241542 going into Roman Kopylov, Jul 20251558 going into Azamat Murzakanov, Apr 20261576 today1576
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

6.15Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
59%Striking Accuracy
5.96Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
49%Striking Defense
0.59Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.30Takedowns per 15 Minutes
43%Takedown Accuracy
78%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
6%Share of Fight Time in Control
12.6 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins503
Losses103

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO · R3 1:23Apr 11, 2026UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaAzamat Murzakanov
1540Fighter Elo Going In1633
1558Classic Elo Going In1593
55 of 80Significant Strikes34 of 70
61 of 86Total Strikes34 of 70
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:20Control Time0:20
Winvs. Roman KopylovUnanimous DecisionJul 19, 2025UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaRoman Kopylov
1448Fighter Elo Going In1507
1542Classic Elo Going In1551
99 of 159Significant Strikes48 of 104
102 of 162Total Strikes48 of 104
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:13Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Sean StricklandSplit DecisionJun 1, 2024UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Paulo CostaSean Strickland
1479Fighter Elo Going In1659
1555Classic Elo Going In1621
158 of 266Significant Strikes182 of 402
158 of 266Total Strikes182 of 402
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:01
Lossvs. Robert WhittakerUnanimous DecisionFeb 17, 2024UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaRobert Whittaker
1474Fighter Elo Going In1620
1567Classic Elo Going In1644
67 of 151Significant Strikes95 of 175
67 of 151Total Strikes95 of 175
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Luke RockholdUnanimous DecisionAug 20, 2022UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaLuke Rockhold
1512Fighter Elo Going In1497
1551Classic Elo Going In1552
73 of 103Significant Strikes51 of 70
106 of 137Total Strikes57 of 78
2 of 2Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:28Control Time0:47
Lossvs. Marvin VettoriUnanimous DecisionOct 23, 2021UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Paulo CostaMarvin Vettori
1487Fighter Elo Going In1762
1567Classic Elo Going In1571
163 of 260Significant Strikes190 of 346
172 of 269Total Strikes214 of 373
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:47Control Time3:27
Lossvs. Israel AdesanyaKO/TKO · R2 3:59Sep 26, 2020UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa

UFC Middleweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Paulo CostaIsrael Adesanya
1554Fighter Elo Going In1864
1580Classic Elo Going In1638
12 of 26Significant Strikes55 of 84
12 of 26Total Strikes55 of 84
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:09
Winvs. Yoel RomeroUnanimous DecisionAug 17, 2019UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaYoel Romero
1566Fighter Elo Going In1634
1562Classic Elo Going In1614
118 of 213Significant Strikes125 of 284
118 of 213Total Strikes125 of 284
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 4
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:12
Winvs. Uriah HallKO/TKO · R2 2:38Jul 7, 2018UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaUriah Hall
1616Fighter Elo Going In1538
1547Classic Elo Going In1515
75 of 116Significant Strikes58 of 122
76 of 117Total Strikes58 of 122
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:03
Winvs. Johny HendricksKO/TKO · R2 1:23Nov 4, 2017UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaJohny Hendricks
1608Fighter Elo Going In1557
1529Classic Elo Going In1577
49 of 90Significant Strikes27 of 54
49 of 90Total Strikes27 of 54
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:00
Winvs. Oluwale BamgboseKO/TKO · R2 1:06Jun 3, 2017UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaOluwale Bamgbose
1547Fighter Elo Going In1426
1515Classic Elo Going In1485
43 of 80Significant Strikes33 of 62
50 of 88Total Strikes40 of 69
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time1:22
Winvs. Garreth McLellanKO/TKO · R1 1:17Mar 11, 2017UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paulo CostaGarreth McLellan
1430Fighter Elo Going In1440
1500Classic Elo Going In1470
22 of 32Significant Strikes6 of 14
23 of 33Total Strikes6 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:00