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Flyweight · Active

Lone'er Kavanagh

UFC Record
3-2
Age
27
Height
5'6"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1474Today
1573Best, Aug 2025
1518Classic Elo
1450150015501600202520261488 going into Jose Ochoa, Nov 20241551 going into Felipe dos Santos, Mar 20251573 going into Charles Johnson, Aug 20251490 going into Brandon Moreno, Feb 20261527 going into Brandon Royval, Jul 20261474 today1474
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1518Today
1533Best, Jul 2026
1474Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

15001550202520261500 going into Jose Ochoa, Nov 20241516 going into Felipe dos Santos, Mar 20251531 going into Charles Johnson, Aug 20251514 going into Brandon Moreno, Feb 20261533 going into Brandon Royval, Jul 20261518 today1518
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.10Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
50%Striking Accuracy
3.94Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
54%Striking Defense
0.19Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.15Takedowns per 15 Minutes
46%Takedown Accuracy
83%Takedown Defense
0.38Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
12%Share of Fight Time in Control
15.7 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins003
Losses110

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Brandon RoyvalSubmission · R3 3:40Jul 11, 2026UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lone'er KavanaghBrandon Royval
1527Fighter Elo Going In1445
1533Classic Elo Going In1544
56 of 94Significant Strikes84 of 152
63 of 101Total Strikes146 of 218
1 of 2Takedowns3 of 6
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts2
2:09Control Time4:53
Winvs. Brandon MorenoUnanimous DecisionFeb 28, 2026UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Lone'er KavanaghBrandon Moreno
1490Fighter Elo Going In1582
1514Classic Elo Going In1584
97 of 205Significant Strikes79 of 168
136 of 245Total Strikes134 of 229
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time7:20
Lossvs. Charles JohnsonKO/TKO · R2 4:35Aug 23, 2025UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lone'er KavanaghCharles Johnson
1573Fighter Elo Going In1518
1531Classic Elo Going In1519
59 of 120Significant Strikes44 of 81
60 of 121Total Strikes52 of 89
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
0:59Control Time0:32
Winvs. Felipe dos SantosUnanimous DecisionMar 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lone'er KavanaghFelipe dos Santos
1551Fighter Elo Going In1461
1516Classic Elo Going In1487
58 of 97Significant Strikes51 of 104
71 of 112Total Strikes92 of 147
4 of 6Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
6:33Control Time0:56
Winvs. Jose OchoaUnanimous DecisionNov 23, 2024UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lone'er KavanaghJose Ochoa
1488Fighter Elo Going In1424
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
51 of 126Significant Strikes50 of 158
51 of 126Total Strikes59 of 168
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:36